Away team
San Jose Sharks
35.5%
Fair American
+182
Fair decimal
2.82
San Jose Sharks vs Colorado Avalanche prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for November 28, 2026
NHL matchup
San Jose Sharks at Colorado Avalanche
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for November 28, 2026.
November 28, 2026
· 8:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Colorado Avalanche at 64.5%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Colorado Avalanche
64.5%
Fair American
-182
Fair decimal
1.55
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Nov 28, 2026.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 4
- Record
- 2-2
- Net units
- 0.45
- ROI
- 11.3%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 9
- Record
- 4-5
- Net units
- 0.66
- ROI
- 7.3%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 1
- Record
- 1-0
- Net units
- 0.89
- ROI
- 89.3%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 12
- Record
- 7-5
- Net units
- -0.77
- ROI
- -6.4%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 2-1
- Net units
- 0.68
- ROI
- 22.8%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 12
- Record
- 7-5
- Net units
- -0.77
- ROI
- -6.4%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 28. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
San Jose Sharks
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
63:28 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 76 / 51
- Fenwick for / against
- 59 / 36
- Corsi share
- 59.8%
- Fenwick share
- 62.1%
- xG for / against
- 4.69 / 2.73
Defense pair
128:35 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 111 / 133
- Fenwick for / against
- 79 / 95
- Corsi share
- 45.5%
- Fenwick share
- 45.4%
- xG for / against
- 4.57 / 5.46
Colorado Avalanche
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
80:19 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 97 / 78
- Fenwick for / against
- 76 / 59
- Corsi share
- 55.4%
- Fenwick share
- 56.3%
- xG for / against
- 5.47 / 4.32
Defense pair
98:06 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 133 / 83
- Fenwick for / against
- 92 / 68
- Corsi share
- 61.6%
- Fenwick share
- 57.5%
- xG for / against
- 6.24 / 4.56
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
San Jose Sharks
Expected starter unavailable.
Colorado Avalanche
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Yaroslav Askarov
San Jose Sharks · Last start: Oct 27
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 159
- Save %
- 91.8
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 35.2
Mackenzie Blackwood
Colorado Avalanche · Last start: Oct 28
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 138
- Save %
- 91.3
- Goals allowed
- 12
- Close-range shots %
- 39.1
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 28, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
San Jose Sharks
- xG for / game
- 3.07
- xG against / game
- 3.93
- xG differential / game
- -0.86
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Colorado Avalanche
- xG for / game
- 3.19
- xG against / game
- 2.93
- xG differential / game
- 0.26
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 28, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
San Jose Sharks
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 58.6
- Corsi share (%)
- 47.0
- Fenwick share (%)
- 45.9
- Faceoff win %
- 48.0
- Penalties / game
- 4.1
Shots / game: 29.0 · Shooting: 9.3% · Avg distance: 34.0 ft
Colorado Avalanche
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 62.9
- Corsi share (%)
- 52.3
- Fenwick share (%)
- 52.1
- Faceoff win %
- 46.6
- Penalties / game
- 4.0
Shots / game: 29.6 · Shooting: 12.8% · Avg distance: 32.7 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
SJS
|
Metric |
COL
|
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Points | 15 |
| 0.500 | Points % | 0.577 |
| 37 | Goals for | 54 |
| 45 | Goals against | 42 |
| -8 | Goal differential | 12 |
| L2 | Current streak | W1 |
Road versus home
|
SJS road
|
Metric |
COL home
|
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Games | 7 |
| 4 | Wins | 5 |
| 9 | Points | 11 |
| -3 | Goal differential | 14 |
Last 10 games
|
SJS
|
Metric |
COL
|
|---|---|---|
| 4-5-1 | Record | 5-4-1 |
| 9 | Points | 11 |
| 28 | Goals for | 38 |
| 33 | Goals against | 34 |
| -5 | Goal differential | 4 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
SJS
1 wins
10
games reviewed
COL
9 wins
Total goals17 – 44
Goal differential
-27
/
+27
Goals per game1.7 / 4.4
Shots per game25.0 / 35.2
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
2 - 4 | 25 - 42 | View |
| Nov 26, 2025 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
0 - 6 | 26 - 42 | View |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
San Jose Sharks
|
2 - 3 | 38 - 23 | View |
| Mar 6, 2025 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
3 - 7 | 34 - 32 | View |
| Dec 19, 2024 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
San Jose Sharks
|
4 - 2 | 31 - 34 | View |
| Oct 20, 2024 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
San Jose Sharks
|
4 - 1 | 22 - 26 | View |
| Dec 31, 2023 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
1 - 3 | 11 - 33 | View |
| Dec 17, 2023 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
2 - 6 | 27 - 29 | View |
| Oct 14, 2023 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
San Jose Sharks
|
2 - 1 | 52 - 21 | View |
| Apr 6, 2023 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
San Jose Sharks
|
6 - 2 | 31 - 23 | View |