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San Jose Sharks vs Colorado Avalanche prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for February 4, 2026

NHL matchup

San Jose Sharks at Colorado Avalanche

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for February 4, 2026.

February 4, 2026 · 8:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 4. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

San Jose Sharks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

64:56 together · 8 games

xG share34.5%
Corsi for / against
53 / 71
Fenwick for / against
36 / 54
Corsi share
42.7%
Fenwick share
40.0%
xG for / against
2.36 / 4.47
Defense pair

110:16 together · 9 games

xG share44.7%
Corsi for / against
94 / 110
Fenwick for / against
67 / 84
Corsi share
46.1%
Fenwick share
44.4%
xG for / against
4.98 / 6.17
All observed combinations

Colorado Avalanche

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

112:33 together · 10 games

xG share57.9%
Corsi for / against
146 / 100
Fenwick for / against
107 / 73
Corsi share
59.3%
Fenwick share
59.4%
xG for / against
5.38 / 3.92
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Yaroslav Askarov

San Jose Sharks · Last start: Feb 2

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
110
Save %
85.5
Goals allowed
16
Close-range shots %
25.5

Mackenzie Blackwood

Colorado Avalanche · Last start: Feb 2

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
125
Save %
91.2
Goals allowed
11
Close-range shots %
37.6
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 4, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

San Jose Sharks

xG for / game
2.95
xG against / game
3.14
xG differential / game
-0.19

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Colorado Avalanche

xG for / game
3.43
xG against / game
2.71
xG differential / game
0.72

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 4, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

San Jose Sharks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
51.3
Corsi share (%)
46.3
Fenwick share (%)
45.8
Faceoff win %
47.3
Penalties / game
3.9

Shots / game: 25.7 · Shooting: 10.9% · Avg distance: 33.2 ft

Colorado Avalanche

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
68.9
Corsi share (%)
56.6
Fenwick share (%)
55.1
Faceoff win %
48.3
Penalties / game
2.7

Shots / game: 32.3 · Shooting: 9.0% · Avg distance: 34.1 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
San Jose Sharks SJS
Metric
Colorado Avalanche COL
13Points15
0.500Points %0.577
37Goals for54
45Goals against42
-8Goal differential12
L2Current streakW1
Road versus home
San Jose Sharks SJS road
Metric
Colorado Avalanche COL home
8Games7
4Wins5
9Points11
-3Goal differential14
Last 10 games
San Jose Sharks SJS
Metric
Colorado Avalanche COL
4-5-1Record5-4-1
9Points11
28Goals for38
33Goals against34
-5Goal differential4
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

San Jose Sharks SJS 1 wins
10 games reviewed
Colorado Avalanche COL 9 wins
Total goals18 – 44
Goal differential -26 / +26
Goals per game1.8 / 4.4
Shots per game25.6 / 35.2
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Nov 26, 2025
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
0 - 6 26 - 42 View
Nov 1, 2025
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
2 - 3 38 - 23 View
Mar 6, 2025
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
3 - 7 34 - 32 View
Dec 19, 2024
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
4 - 2 31 - 34 View
Oct 20, 2024
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
4 - 1 22 - 26 View
Dec 31, 2023
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
1 - 3 11 - 33 View
Dec 17, 2023
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
2 - 6 27 - 29 View
Oct 14, 2023
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
2 - 1 52 - 21 View
Apr 6, 2023
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
6 - 2 31 - 23 View
Apr 4, 2023
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
4 - 3 42 - 31 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.