Away team
San Jose Sharks
49.9%
Fair American
+100
Fair decimal
2.0
San Jose Sharks vs Chicago Blackhawks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 16, 2027
NHL matchup
San Jose Sharks at Chicago Blackhawks
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 16, 2027.
March 16, 2027
· 7:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Chicago Blackhawks at 50.1%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Chicago Blackhawks
50.1%
Fair American
-100
Fair decimal
2.0
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Mar 16, 2027.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 4
- Record
- 2-2
- Net units
- 0.45
- ROI
- 11.3%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 9
- Record
- 4-5
- Net units
- 0.66
- ROI
- 7.3%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 1
- Record
- 1-0
- Net units
- 0.89
- ROI
- 89.3%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 3-2
- Net units
- 1.46
- ROI
- 29.2%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 11
- Record
- 4-7
- Net units
- -2.13
- ROI
- -19.4%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 0
- Record
- 0-0
- Net units
- 0.00
- ROI
- —
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 16. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
San Jose Sharks
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
63:28 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 76 / 51
- Fenwick for / against
- 59 / 36
- Corsi share
- 59.8%
- Fenwick share
- 62.1%
- xG for / against
- 4.69 / 2.73
Defense pair
128:35 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 111 / 133
- Fenwick for / against
- 79 / 95
- Corsi share
- 45.5%
- Fenwick share
- 45.4%
- xG for / against
- 4.57 / 5.46
Chicago Blackhawks
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
66:26 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 40 / 56
- Fenwick for / against
- 32 / 40
- Corsi share
- 41.7%
- Fenwick share
- 44.4%
- xG for / against
- 2.67 / 2.20
Defense pair
121:03 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 69 / 113
- Fenwick for / against
- 56 / 85
- Corsi share
- 37.9%
- Fenwick share
- 39.7%
- xG for / against
- 3.65 / 5.24
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
San Jose Sharks
Expected starter unavailable.
Chicago Blackhawks
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Yaroslav Askarov
San Jose Sharks · Last start: Oct 27
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 159
- Save %
- 91.8
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 35.2
Spencer Knight
Chicago Blackhawks · Last start: Oct 27
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 153
- Save %
- 90.8
- Goals allowed
- 14
- Close-range shots %
- 42.5
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 16, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
San Jose Sharks
- xG for / game
- 3.07
- xG against / game
- 3.93
- xG differential / game
- -0.86
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Chicago Blackhawks
- xG for / game
- 2.60
- xG against / game
- 3.39
- xG differential / game
- -0.79
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 16, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
San Jose Sharks
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 58.6
- Corsi share (%)
- 47.0
- Fenwick share (%)
- 45.9
- Faceoff win %
- 48.0
- Penalties / game
- 4.1
Shots / game: 29.0 · Shooting: 9.3% · Avg distance: 34.0 ft
Chicago Blackhawks
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 47.9
- Corsi share (%)
- 44.9
- Fenwick share (%)
- 44.0
- Faceoff win %
- 44.0
- Penalties / game
- 3.5
Shots / game: 22.1 · Shooting: 10.9% · Avg distance: 30.5 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
SJS
|
Metric |
CHI
|
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Points | 8 |
| 0.500 | Points % | 0.333 |
| 37 | Goals for | 26 |
| 45 | Goals against | 44 |
| -8 | Goal differential | -18 |
| L2 | Current streak | W1 |
Road versus home
|
SJS road
|
Metric |
CHI home
|
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Games | 8 |
| 4 | Wins | 4 |
| 9 | Points | 8 |
| -3 | Goal differential | -5 |
Last 10 games
|
SJS
|
Metric |
CHI
|
|---|---|---|
| 4-5-1 | Record | 4-6-0 |
| 9 | Points | 8 |
| 28 | Goals for | 24 |
| 33 | Goals against | 33 |
| -5 | Goal differential | -9 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
SJS
3 wins
10
games reviewed
CHI
7 wins
Total goals27 – 37
Goal differential
-10
/
+10
Goals per game2.7 / 3.7
Shots per game28.6 / 27.4
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2026 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Chicago Blackhawks
|
2 - 5 | 17 - 24 | View |
| Apr 6, 2026 |
Chicago Blackhawks
at
San Jose Sharks
|
2 - 3 | 29 - 23 | View |
| Feb 2, 2026 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Chicago Blackhawks
|
3 - 6 | 27 - 17 | View |
| Mar 13, 2025 |
Chicago Blackhawks
at
San Jose Sharks
|
2 - 4 | 26 - 25 | View |
| Oct 31, 2024 |
Chicago Blackhawks
at
San Jose Sharks
|
2 - 3 | 29 - 29 | View |
| Oct 17, 2024 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Chicago Blackhawks
|
2 - 4 | 22 - 27 | View |
| Mar 23, 2024 |
Chicago Blackhawks
at
San Jose Sharks
|
5 - 4 | 31 - 30 | View |
| Mar 17, 2024 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Chicago Blackhawks
|
2 - 5 | 27 - 31 | View |
| Jan 16, 2024 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Chicago Blackhawks
|
1 - 2 | 38 - 25 | View |
| Feb 25, 2023 |
Chicago Blackhawks
at
San Jose Sharks
|
4 - 3 | 35 - 48 | View |