Forward trio
60:04 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 59 / 60
- Fenwick for / against
- 49 / 48
- Corsi share
- 49.6%
- Fenwick share
- 50.5%
- xG for / against
- 2.97 / 4.61
San Jose Sharks vs Buffalo Sabres prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 10, 2026
NHL matchup
San Jose Sharks at Buffalo Sabres
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 10, 2026.
March 10, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 10. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
San Jose Sharks
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
119:15 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 127 / 107
- Fenwick for / against
- 98 / 83
- Corsi share
- 54.3%
- Fenwick share
- 54.1%
- xG for / against
- 6.11 / 7.30
Buffalo Sabres
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
95:55 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 101 / 86
- Fenwick for / against
- 86 / 60
- Corsi share
- 54.0%
- Fenwick share
- 58.9%
- xG for / against
- 7.62 / 4.47
Defense pair
98:02 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 67 / 84
- Fenwick for / against
- 57 / 60
- Corsi share
- 44.4%
- Fenwick share
- 48.7%
- xG for / against
- 3.11 / 4.78
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Yaroslav Askarov
San Jose Sharks · Last start: Mar 7
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 163
- Save %
- 89.6
- Goals allowed
- 17
- Close-range shots %
- 31.9
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Buffalo Sabres · Last start: Mar 8
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 128
- Save %
- 89.8
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 41.4
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 10, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
San Jose Sharks
- xG for / game
- 2.83
- xG against / game
- 3.22
- xG differential / game
- -0.39
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Buffalo Sabres
- xG for / game
- 3.49
- xG against / game
- 3.77
- xG differential / game
- -0.29
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 10, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
San Jose Sharks
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 54.3
- Corsi share (%)
- 48.8
- Fenwick share (%)
- 48.6
- Faceoff win %
- 47.0
- Penalties / game
- 4.1
Shots / game: 28.3 · Shooting: 9.9% · Avg distance: 32.6 ft
Buffalo Sabres
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 57.7
- Corsi share (%)
- 48.2
- Fenwick share (%)
- 49.6
- Faceoff win %
- 48.6
- Penalties / game
- 4.5
Shots / game: 29.7 · Shooting: 13.5% · Avg distance: 33.6 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
SJS
|
Metric |
BUF
|
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Points | 13 |
| 0.500 | Points % | 0.542 |
| 37 | Goals for | 33 |
| 45 | Goals against | 41 |
| -8 | Goal differential | -8 |
| L2 | Current streak | W1 |
Road versus home
|
SJS road
|
Metric |
BUF home
|
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Games | 6 |
| 4 | Wins | 3 |
| 9 | Points | 6 |
| -3 | Goal differential | -5 |
Last 10 games
|
SJS
|
Metric |
BUF
|
|---|---|---|
| 4-5-1 | Record | 4-3-3 |
| 9 | Points | 11 |
| 28 | Goals for | 26 |
| 33 | Goals against | 32 |
| -5 | Goal differential | -6 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
SJS
3 wins
10
games reviewed
BUF
7 wins
Total goals29 – 37
Goal differential
-8
/
+8
Goals per game2.9 / 3.7
Shots per game28.7 / 32.4
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2025 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
6 - 2 | 28 - 22 | View |
| Nov 23, 2024 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
San Jose Sharks
|
4 - 2 | 31 - 33 | View |
| Jan 27, 2024 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
San Jose Sharks
|
5 - 2 | 36 - 26 | View |
| Jan 15, 2024 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
0 - 3 | 28 - 35 | View |
| Feb 18, 2023 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
San Jose Sharks
|
4 - 2 | 31 - 35 | View |
| Dec 4, 2022 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
3 - 6 | 29 - 38 | View |
| Jan 6, 2022 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
3 - 2 | 21 - 39 | View |
| Nov 2, 2021 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
San Jose Sharks
|
3 - 5 | 28 - 27 | View |
| Oct 22, 2019 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
3 - 4 | 28 - 29 | View |
| Oct 19, 2019 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
San Jose Sharks
|
4 - 3 | 35 - 32 | View |