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San Jose Sharks vs Boston Bruins prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 24, 2026

NHL matchup

San Jose Sharks at Boston Bruins

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 24, 2026.

October 24, 2026 · 6:00 PM CST
Away

San Jose Sharks

6-5-1

4
Final
Home

Boston Bruins

9-2-1

6 Model pick
Model V2 pick: Boston Bruins at 60.1% View final boxscore
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

San Jose Sharks logo
Away team

San Jose Sharks

39.9%
Fair American +151
Fair decimal 2.51
Best market +170 · BetRivers
Market implied 37.0%
Edge +2.9%
Expected value +7.7%
Calculate value
Boston Bruins logo
Home team

Boston Bruins

60.1%
Fair American -151
Fair decimal 1.66
Best market -190 · BetUS
Market implied 65.5%
Edge -5.4%
Expected value -8.3%
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Oct 24, 2026.

Boston Bruins

All Model Picks

Bets
7
Record
5-2
Net units
2.50
ROI
35.7%

Value Picks

Bets
7
Record
4-3
Net units
0.79
ROI
11.3%

Market Favourite

Bets
5
Record
5-0
Net units
4.16
ROI
83.1%
Full team betting results

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 24. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

San Jose Sharks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

127:12 together · 9 games

xG share45.4%
Corsi for / against
109 / 140
Fenwick for / against
76 / 96
Corsi share
43.8%
Fenwick share
44.2%
xG for / against
4.72 / 5.68
All observed combinations

Boston Bruins

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

101:19 together · 8 games

xG share47.5%
Corsi for / against
90 / 115
Fenwick for / against
66 / 77
Corsi share
43.9%
Fenwick share
46.2%
xG for / against
5.05 / 5.58
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

San Jose Sharks

Alex Nedeljkovic 51.4%
Other eligible goalies

Why Alex Nedeljkovic?

Top five influences

Raises the scoreLowers the score
Goalie team start share
-0.394
Started last game
+0.339
Won previous appearance
+0.245
Days since last start
+0.244
Appearances last 5 goalie rows
+0.197
About these predictions

Values are SHAP contributions in log-odds. Bar lengths show relative strength within this goalie’s top five factors.

SHAP shows the strongest influences on this goalie's raw starter score compared with the model's baseline. These are not percentage-point changes to the displayed share or proof of causation. Eligibility exclusions and other goalies also affect the displayed share.

Updated Oct 24, 5:02 AM Winnipeg time

Boston Bruins

Jeremy Swayman 88.1%
Other eligible goalies

Why Jeremy Swayman?

Top five influences

Raises the scoreLowers the score
Goalie team start share
+1.404
Started last game
+0.415
Days since last start
+0.390
Rolling 5 game avg save pct
+0.362
Consecutive starts
+0.274
About these predictions

Values are SHAP contributions in log-odds. Bar lengths show relative strength within this goalie’s top five factors.

SHAP shows the strongest influences on this goalie's raw starter score compared with the model's baseline. These are not percentage-point changes to the displayed share or proof of causation. Eligibility exclusions and other goalies also affect the displayed share.

Updated Oct 24, 5:02 AM Winnipeg time

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Yaroslav Askarov

San Jose Sharks · Last start: Oct 22

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
145
Save %
88.3
Goals allowed
17
Close-range shots %
35.2

Michael DiPietro

Boston Bruins · Last start: Oct 22

3 / 3 appearances covered

Shots faced
85
Save %
94.1
Goals allowed
5
Close-range shots %
32.9
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 24, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

San Jose Sharks

xG for / game
2.93
xG against / game
3.88
xG differential / game
-0.95

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Boston Bruins

xG for / game
3.11
xG against / game
3.19
xG differential / game
-0.08

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 24, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

San Jose Sharks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
55.9
Corsi share (%)
45.7
Fenwick share (%)
45.2
Faceoff win %
47.8
Penalties / game
3.7

Shots / game: 27.8 · Shooting: 10.1% · Avg distance: 34.4 ft

Boston Bruins

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
52.1
Corsi share (%)
45.9
Fenwick share (%)
46.9
Faceoff win %
53.0
Penalties / game
4.6

Shots / game: 25.7 · Shooting: 15.2% · Avg distance: 31.7 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
San Jose Sharks SJS
Metric
Boston Bruins BOS
13Points19
0.542Points %0.792
37Goals for48
43Goals against26
-6Goal differential22
L1Current streakW2
Road versus home
San Jose Sharks SJS road
Metric
Boston Bruins BOS home
8Games6
4Wins5
9Points10
-3Goal differential17
Last 10 games
San Jose Sharks SJS
Metric
Boston Bruins BOS
4-5-1Record7-2-1
9Points15
28Goals for41
36Goals against23
-8Goal differential18
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

San Jose Sharks SJS 3 wins
10 games reviewed
Boston Bruins BOS 7 wins
Total goals20 – 33
Goal differential -13 / +13
Goals per game2.0 / 3.3
Shots per game26.3 / 31.9
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Oct 13, 2026
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
6 - 3 26 - 38 View
Mar 12, 2026
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
4 - 2 28 - 41 View
Nov 23, 2025
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
1 - 3 35 - 31 View
Mar 22, 2025
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
1 - 3 23 - 21 View
Jan 20, 2025
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
3 - 6 28 - 33 View
Nov 30, 2023
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
0 - 3 26 - 37 View
Oct 19, 2023
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
3 - 1 36 - 27 View
Jan 22, 2023
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
0 - 4 18 - 22 View
Jan 7, 2023
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
4 - 2 29 - 30 View
Feb 26, 2022
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
3 - 1 37 - 16 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings SJS BOS