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San Jose Sharks vs Boston Bruins prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 12, 2026

NHL matchup

San Jose Sharks at Boston Bruins

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 12, 2026.

March 12, 2026 · 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 12. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

San Jose Sharks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

67:03 together · 8 games

xG share44.5%
Corsi for / against
71 / 69
Fenwick for / against
50 / 54
Corsi share
50.7%
Fenwick share
48.1%
xG for / against
2.31 / 2.88
Defense pair

122:47 together · 9 games

xG share43.2%
Corsi for / against
133 / 114
Fenwick for / against
97 / 88
Corsi share
53.8%
Fenwick share
52.4%
xG for / against
6.18 / 8.14
All observed combinations

Boston Bruins

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

68:33 together · 10 games

xG share29.9%
Corsi for / against
62 / 83
Fenwick for / against
40 / 56
Corsi share
42.8%
Fenwick share
41.7%
xG for / against
2.22 / 5.19
Defense pair

108:41 together · 10 games

xG share51.9%
Corsi for / against
111 / 105
Fenwick for / against
80 / 75
Corsi share
51.4%
Fenwick share
51.6%
xG for / against
5.22 / 4.83
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Yaroslav Askarov

San Jose Sharks · Last start: Mar 10

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
147
Save %
87.1
Goals allowed
19
Close-range shots %
34.7

Jeremy Swayman

Boston Bruins · Last start: Mar 10

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
136
Save %
92.6
Goals allowed
10
Close-range shots %
25.0
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 12, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

San Jose Sharks

xG for / game
2.88
xG against / game
3.24
xG differential / game
-0.36

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Boston Bruins

xG for / game
3.03
xG against / game
3.62
xG differential / game
-0.59

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 12, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

San Jose Sharks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
56.0
Corsi share (%)
49.9
Fenwick share (%)
49.5
Faceoff win %
47.9
Penalties / game
4.4

Shots / game: 28.2 · Shooting: 9.9% · Avg distance: 32.1 ft

Boston Bruins

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
60.5
Corsi share (%)
48.7
Fenwick share (%)
47.4
Faceoff win %
54.0
Penalties / game
4.7

Shots / game: 27.2 · Shooting: 12.5% · Avg distance: 31.8 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
San Jose Sharks SJS
Metric
Boston Bruins BOS
13Points19
0.542Points %0.792
37Goals for48
43Goals against26
-6Goal differential22
L1Current streakW2
Road versus home
San Jose Sharks SJS road
Metric
Boston Bruins BOS home
8Games6
4Wins5
9Points10
-3Goal differential17
Last 10 games
San Jose Sharks SJS
Metric
Boston Bruins BOS
4-5-1Record7-2-1
9Points15
28Goals for41
36Goals against23
-8Goal differential18
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

San Jose Sharks SJS 2 wins
10 games reviewed
Boston Bruins BOS 8 wins
Total goals17 – 34
Goal differential -17 / +17
Goals per game1.7 / 3.4
Shots per game24.0 / 32.7
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Nov 23, 2025
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
1 - 3 35 - 31 View
Mar 22, 2025
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
1 - 3 23 - 21 View
Jan 20, 2025
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
3 - 6 28 - 33 View
Nov 30, 2023
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
0 - 3 26 - 37 View
Oct 19, 2023
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
3 - 1 36 - 27 View
Jan 22, 2023
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
0 - 4 18 - 22 View
Jan 7, 2023
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
4 - 2 29 - 30 View
Feb 26, 2022
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks
3 - 1 37 - 16 View
Oct 24, 2021
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
3 - 4 26 - 34 View
Oct 29, 2019
San Jose Sharks San Jose Sharks at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
1 - 5 17 - 41 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.