Away team
Pittsburgh Penguins
49.8%
Fair American
+101
Fair decimal
2.01
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Winnipeg Jets prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for February 21, 2027
NHL matchup
Pittsburgh Penguins at Winnipeg Jets
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for February 21, 2027.
February 21, 2027
· 4:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Winnipeg Jets at 50.2%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Winnipeg Jets
50.2%
Fair American
-101
Fair decimal
1.99
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Feb 21, 2027.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 8
- Record
- 5-3
- Net units
- 2.59
- ROI
- 32.4%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 8
- Record
- 4-4
- Net units
- 0.85
- ROI
- 10.7%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 4
- Record
- 2-2
- Net units
- -0.38
- ROI
- -9.5%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 4
- Record
- 1-3
- Net units
- -2.07
- ROI
- -51.9%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 6
- Record
- 2-4
- Net units
- -0.82
- ROI
- -13.7%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 4
- Record
- 1-3
- Net units
- -2.07
- ROI
- -51.9%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 21. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Pittsburgh Penguins
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
62:36 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 62 / 60
- Fenwick for / against
- 44 / 50
- Corsi share
- 50.8%
- Fenwick share
- 46.8%
- xG for / against
- 3.72 / 4.52
Defense pair
83:42 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 96 / 88
- Fenwick for / against
- 70 / 70
- Corsi share
- 52.2%
- Fenwick share
- 50.0%
- xG for / against
- 3.95 / 5.54
Winnipeg Jets
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
135:56 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 159 / 130
- Fenwick for / against
- 120 / 104
- Corsi share
- 55.0%
- Fenwick share
- 53.6%
- xG for / against
- 7.78 / 7.59
Defense pair
121:50 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 114 / 112
- Fenwick for / against
- 83 / 81
- Corsi share
- 50.4%
- Fenwick share
- 50.6%
- xG for / against
- 4.74 / 5.31
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Pittsburgh Penguins
Expected starter unavailable.
Winnipeg Jets
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Arturs Silovs
Pittsburgh Penguins · Last start: Oct 24
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 138
- Save %
- 90.6
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 32.6
Stuart Skinner
Winnipeg Jets · Last start: Oct 25
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 136
- Save %
- 90.4
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 38.2
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 21, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Pittsburgh Penguins
- xG for / game
- 3.15
- xG against / game
- 3.33
- xG differential / game
- -0.18
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Winnipeg Jets
- xG for / game
- 2.87
- xG against / game
- 3.38
- xG differential / game
- -0.51
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 21, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Pittsburgh Penguins
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 57.9
- Corsi share (%)
- 50.9
- Fenwick share (%)
- 50.1
- Faceoff win %
- 46.6
- Penalties / game
- 2.9
Shots / game: 26.5 · Shooting: 9.8% · Avg distance: 31.3 ft
Winnipeg Jets
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 56.6
- Corsi share (%)
- 48.6
- Fenwick share (%)
- 47.4
- Faceoff win %
- 45.1
- Penalties / game
- 2.9
Shots / game: 26.6 · Shooting: 9.0% · Avg distance: 32.0 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
PIT
|
Metric |
WPG
|
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Points | 11 |
| 0.458 | Points % | 0.500 |
| 40 | Goals for | 27 |
| 40 | Goals against | 31 |
| 0 | Goal differential | -4 |
| W2 | Current streak | L1 |
Road versus home
|
PIT road
|
Metric |
WPG home
|
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Games | 6 |
| 1 | Wins | 2 |
| 3 | Points | 5 |
| -6 | Goal differential | -3 |
Last 10 games
|
PIT
|
Metric |
WPG
|
|---|---|---|
| 3-6-1 | Record | 4-4-2 |
| 7 | Points | 10 |
| 27 | Goals for | 24 |
| 35 | Goals against | 27 |
| -8 | Goal differential | -3 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
PIT
4 wins
10
games reviewed
WPG
6 wins
Total goals24 – 30
Goal differential
-6
/
+6
Goals per game2.4 / 3.0
Shots per game30.8 / 31.5
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2026 |
Winnipeg Jets
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
3 - 2 | 34 - 32 | View |
| Mar 21, 2026 |
Winnipeg Jets
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
4 - 5 | 25 - 30 | View |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Winnipeg Jets
|
2 - 5 | 30 - 34 | View |
| Nov 22, 2024 |
Winnipeg Jets
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
4 - 1 | 30 - 18 | View |
| Oct 20, 2024 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Winnipeg Jets
|
3 - 6 | 42 - 37 | View |
| Feb 10, 2024 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Winnipeg Jets
|
1 - 2 | 36 - 31 | View |
| Feb 6, 2024 |
Winnipeg Jets
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
0 - 3 | 23 - 27 | View |
| Jan 13, 2023 |
Winnipeg Jets
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
4 - 1 | 40 - 23 | View |
| Nov 19, 2022 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Winnipeg Jets
|
3 - 0 | 32 - 32 | View |
| Jan 23, 2022 |
Winnipeg Jets
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
2 - 3 | 29 - 38 | View |