Pittsburgh Penguins vs Washington Capitals prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 7, 2026

NHL matchup

Pittsburgh Penguins at Washington Capitals

View the PlayerWON model prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 7, 2026.

October 7, 2026 · 6:30 PM CST
Away

Pittsburgh Penguins

41-25-16
at
Home

Washington Capitals

43-30-9
Model favourite Pittsburgh Penguins at 52.0%
Prediction

Model versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Pittsburgh Penguins logo
Away team

Pittsburgh Penguins

52.0%
Fair American -108
Fair decimal 1.92
Best market +130 · DraftKings
Market implied 43.5%
Edge +8.5%
Expected value +19.6%
Calculate value
Washington Capitals logo
Home team

Washington Capitals

48.0%
Fair American +108
Fair decimal 2.08
Best market -155 · DraftKings
Market implied 60.8%
Edge -12.8%
Expected value -21.0%
Calculate value
Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT
Metric
Washington Capitals WSH
98Points95
0.598Points %0.579
293Goals for263
268Goals against244
25Goal differential19
L3Current streakW4
Road versus home
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT road
Metric
Washington Capitals WSH home
41Games41
21Wins25
50Points55
18Goal differential30
Last 10 games
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT
Metric
Washington Capitals WSH
5-5-0Record8-2-0
10Points16
46Goals for43
40Goals against33
6Goal differential10
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Pittsburgh Penguins PIT 4 wins
10 games reviewed
Washington Capitals WSH 6 wins
Total goals28 – 39
Goal differential -11 / +11
Goals per game2.8 / 3.9
Shots per game28.6 / 28.5
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Apr 12, 2026
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Washington Capitals Washington Capitals
0 - 3 24 - 26 View
Apr 11, 2026
Washington Capitals Washington Capitals at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
6 - 3 31 - 12 View
Nov 6, 2025
Washington Capitals Washington Capitals at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
3 - 5 30 - 31 View
Apr 17, 2025
Washington Capitals Washington Capitals at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
2 - 5 20 - 38 View
Feb 22, 2025
Washington Capitals Washington Capitals at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
8 - 3 30 - 32 View
Jan 18, 2025
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Washington Capitals Washington Capitals
1 - 4 19 - 32 View
Nov 8, 2024
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Washington Capitals Washington Capitals
4 - 2 32 - 34 View
Apr 4, 2024
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Washington Capitals Washington Capitals
4 - 1 24 - 31 View
Mar 7, 2024
Washington Capitals Washington Capitals at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
6 - 0 29 - 39 View
Jan 2, 2024
Washington Capitals Washington Capitals at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
4 - 3 22 - 35 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s machine-learning model, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings PIT WSH