Pittsburgh Penguins vs Washington Capitals prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for April 12, 2026
Get the playerWON NHL prediction for the Pittsburgh Penguins at Washington Capitals matchup on April 12, 2026. playerWON’s machine-learning model currently gives the Washington Capitals a 51.9% win probability.
🤖 Model favours Washington Capitals
(51.9%)
Compare market odds, fair odds, and value below.
April 12, 2026
Visitor Model vs Market
Pittsburgh Penguins
48.1%
Fair American: +108
Fair Decimal: 2.08
Best Market: +148 · BetRivers
Market Implied: 40.3%
Edge: +7.8%
EV: +19.3%
Calculate Value →
Home Model vs Market
Washington Capitals
51.9%
Fair American: -108
Fair Decimal: 1.93
Best Market: -160 · BetMGM
Market Implied: 61.5%
Edge: -9.6%
EV: -15.7%
Calculate Value →
📊 Season Overview
|
PIT
|
Metric |
WSH
|
|---|---|---|
| 98 | Points | 95 |
| 0.598 | Points % | 0.579 |
| 293 | Goals For | 263 |
| 268 | Goals Against | 244 |
| 25 | Goal Differential | 19 |
| L3 | Current Streak | W4 |
🚍 Road vs 🏠 Home
|
PIT (Road)
|
Metric |
WSH (Home)
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 21 | Wins | 25 |
| 50 | Points | 55 |
| 18 | Goal Differential | 30 |
🔥 Last 10 Games
|
PIT
|
Metric |
WSH
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-5-0 | Record | 8-2-0 |
| 10 | Points | 16 |
| 46 | Goals For | 43 |
| 40 | Goals Against | 33 |
| 6 | Goal Differential | 10 |
🥅 Last 10 Head-to-Head Games
|
PIT
|
H2H Summary |
WSH
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-5 | Record | 5-5 |
| 32 | Total Goals | 36 |
| -4 | Goal Differential | +4 |
| 3.2 | Goals / Game | 3.6 |
| 29.7 | Shots / Game | 27.8 |
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 |
Washington Capitals
@
Pittsburgh Penguins
@
|
6 - 3 | 31 - 12 | View |
| Nov 6, 2025 |
Washington Capitals
@
Pittsburgh Penguins
@
|
3 - 5 | 30 - 31 | View |
| Apr 17, 2025 |
Washington Capitals
@
Pittsburgh Penguins
@
|
2 - 5 | 20 - 38 | View |
| Feb 22, 2025 |
Washington Capitals
@
Pittsburgh Penguins
@
|
8 - 3 | 30 - 32 | View |
| Jan 18, 2025 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
@
Washington Capitals
@
|
1 - 4 | 19 - 32 | View |
| Nov 8, 2024 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
@
Washington Capitals
@
|
4 - 2 | 32 - 34 | View |
| Apr 4, 2024 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
@
Washington Capitals
@
|
4 - 1 | 24 - 31 | View |
| Mar 7, 2024 |
Washington Capitals
@
Pittsburgh Penguins
@
|
6 - 0 | 29 - 39 | View |
| Jan 2, 2024 |
Washington Capitals
@
Pittsburgh Penguins
@
|
4 - 3 | 22 - 35 | View |
| Oct 13, 2023 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
@
Washington Capitals
@
|
4 - 0 | 35 - 19 | View |
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s machine-learning model, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.