Forward trio
72:21 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 64 / 67
- Fenwick for / against
- 50 / 46
- Corsi share
- 48.9%
- Fenwick share
- 52.1%
- xG for / against
- 3.64 / 1.43
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Washington Capitals prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for April 12, 2026
NHL matchup
Pittsburgh Penguins at Washington Capitals
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for April 12, 2026.
April 12, 2026
· 2:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 12. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Pittsburgh Penguins
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
136:54 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 144 / 111
- Fenwick for / against
- 103 / 91
- Corsi share
- 56.5%
- Fenwick share
- 53.1%
- xG for / against
- 6.92 / 5.99
Washington Capitals
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
43:15 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 28 / 47
- Fenwick for / against
- 20 / 39
- Corsi share
- 37.3%
- Fenwick share
- 33.9%
- xG for / against
- 1.28 / 2.48
Defense pair
122:15 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 94 / 116
- Fenwick for / against
- 72 / 80
- Corsi share
- 44.8%
- Fenwick share
- 47.4%
- xG for / against
- 5.44 / 4.69
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Arturs Silovs
Pittsburgh Penguins · Last start: Apr 11
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 137
- Save %
- 86.1
- Goals allowed
- 19
- Close-range shots %
- 24.1
Logan Thompson
Washington Capitals · Last start: Apr 11
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 125
- Save %
- 88.0
- Goals allowed
- 15
- Close-range shots %
- 32.8
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 12, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Pittsburgh Penguins
- xG for / game
- 3.41
- xG against / game
- 2.90
- xG differential / game
- 0.50
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Washington Capitals
- xG for / game
- 2.66
- xG against / game
- 3.39
- xG differential / game
- -0.74
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 12, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Pittsburgh Penguins
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 59.3
- Corsi share (%)
- 51.0
- Fenwick share (%)
- 51.1
- Faceoff win %
- 45.7
- Penalties / game
- 3.5
Shots / game: 26.7 · Shooting: 17.2% · Avg distance: 31.1 ft
Washington Capitals
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 51.0
- Corsi share (%)
- 45.1
- Fenwick share (%)
- 46.0
- Faceoff win %
- 46.1
- Penalties / game
- 4.7
Shots / game: 24.1 · Shooting: 16.2% · Avg distance: 34.2 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
PIT
|
Metric |
WSH
|
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Points | 12 |
| 0.458 | Points % | 0.600 |
| 40 | Goals for | 34 |
| 40 | Goals against | 32 |
| 0 | Goal differential | 2 |
| W2 | Current streak | W1 |
Road versus home
|
PIT road
|
Metric |
WSH home
|
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Games | 7 |
| 1 | Wins | 5 |
| 3 | Points | 10 |
| -6 | Goal differential | 3 |
Last 10 games
|
PIT
|
Metric |
WSH
|
|---|---|---|
| 3-6-1 | Record | 6-4-0 |
| 7 | Points | 12 |
| 27 | Goals for | 34 |
| 35 | Goals against | 32 |
| -8 | Goal differential | 2 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
PIT
5 wins
10
games reviewed
WSH
5 wins
Total goals32 – 36
Goal differential
-4
/
+4
Goals per game3.2 / 3.6
Shots per game29.7 / 27.8
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 |
Washington Capitals
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
6 - 3 | 31 - 12 | View |
| Nov 6, 2025 |
Washington Capitals
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
3 - 5 | 30 - 31 | View |
| Apr 17, 2025 |
Washington Capitals
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
2 - 5 | 20 - 38 | View |
| Feb 22, 2025 |
Washington Capitals
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
8 - 3 | 30 - 32 | View |
| Jan 18, 2025 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Washington Capitals
|
1 - 4 | 19 - 32 | View |
| Nov 8, 2024 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Washington Capitals
|
4 - 2 | 32 - 34 | View |
| Apr 4, 2024 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Washington Capitals
|
4 - 1 | 24 - 31 | View |
| Mar 7, 2024 |
Washington Capitals
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
6 - 0 | 29 - 39 | View |
| Jan 2, 2024 |
Washington Capitals
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
4 - 3 | 22 - 35 | View |
| Oct 13, 2023 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Washington Capitals
|
4 - 0 | 35 - 19 | View |