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Pittsburgh Penguins vs Vancouver Canucks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for February 16, 2027

NHL matchup

Pittsburgh Penguins at Vancouver Canucks

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for February 16, 2027.

February 16, 2027 · 8:00 PM CST
Away

Pittsburgh Penguins

5-6-1

52.9% Model pick
at
Home

Vancouver Canucks

3-10-1

47.1%
Model V2 pick: Pittsburgh Penguins at 52.9%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Pittsburgh Penguins logo
Away team

Pittsburgh Penguins

52.9%
Fair American -112
Fair decimal 1.89
Calculate value
Vancouver Canucks logo
Home team

Vancouver Canucks

47.1%
Fair American +112
Fair decimal 2.12
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Feb 16, 2027.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 16. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Pittsburgh Penguins

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

62:36 together · 7 games

xG share45.1%
Corsi for / against
62 / 60
Fenwick for / against
44 / 50
Corsi share
50.8%
Fenwick share
46.8%
xG for / against
3.72 / 4.52
Defense pair

83:42 together · 10 games

xG share41.7%
Corsi for / against
96 / 88
Fenwick for / against
70 / 70
Corsi share
52.2%
Fenwick share
50.0%
xG for / against
3.95 / 5.54
All observed combinations

Vancouver Canucks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

93:51 together · 10 games

xG share33.4%
Corsi for / against
67 / 100
Fenwick for / against
42 / 80
Corsi share
40.1%
Fenwick share
34.4%
xG for / against
2.96 / 5.92
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Arturs Silovs

Pittsburgh Penguins · Last start: Oct 24

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
138
Save %
90.6
Goals allowed
13
Close-range shots %
32.6

Leevi Meriläinen

Vancouver Canucks · Last start: Oct 27

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
177
Save %
88.7
Goals allowed
20
Close-range shots %
35.6
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 16, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Pittsburgh Penguins

xG for / game
3.15
xG against / game
3.33
xG differential / game
-0.18

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Vancouver Canucks

xG for / game
2.41
xG against / game
4.17
xG differential / game
-1.76

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 16, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Pittsburgh Penguins

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
57.9
Corsi share (%)
50.9
Fenwick share (%)
50.1
Faceoff win %
46.6
Penalties / game
2.9

Shots / game: 26.5 · Shooting: 9.8% · Avg distance: 31.3 ft

Vancouver Canucks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
46.5
Corsi share (%)
42.7
Fenwick share (%)
41.1
Faceoff win %
45.7
Penalties / game
3.7

Shots / game: 20.0 · Shooting: 12.0% · Avg distance: 31.8 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT
Metric
Vancouver Canucks VAN
11Points7
0.458Points %0.250
40Goals for43
40Goals against65
0Goal differential-22
W2Current streakW1
Road versus home
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT road
Metric
Vancouver Canucks VAN home
7Games6
1Wins1
3Points2
-6Goal differential-8
Last 10 games
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT
Metric
Vancouver Canucks VAN
3-6-1Record1-8-1
7Points3
27Goals for24
35Goals against47
-8Goal differential-23
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Pittsburgh Penguins PIT 7 wins
10 games reviewed
Vancouver Canucks VAN 3 wins
Total goals37 – 29
Goal differential +8 / -8
Goals per game3.7 / 2.9
Shots per game32.5 / 29.6
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Jan 25, 2026
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
3 - 2 25 - 32 View
Oct 21, 2025
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
1 - 5 24 - 26 View
Nov 27, 2024
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
4 - 5 29 - 23 View
Oct 26, 2024
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
3 - 4 24 - 34 View
Feb 27, 2024
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
4 - 3 40 - 35 View
Jan 11, 2024
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
4 - 3 29 - 35 View
Jan 10, 2023
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
4 - 5 24 - 36 View
Oct 28, 2022
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
1 - 5 35 - 29 View
Dec 4, 2021
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
4 - 1 44 - 23 View
Nov 24, 2021
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
1 - 4 37 - 37 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings PIT VAN