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Pittsburgh Penguins vs Vancouver Canucks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 25, 2026

NHL matchup

Pittsburgh Penguins at Vancouver Canucks

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 25, 2026.

January 25, 2026 · 5:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 25. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Pittsburgh Penguins

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

100:36 together · 8 games

xG share48.5%
Corsi for / against
106 / 110
Fenwick for / against
78 / 73
Corsi share
49.1%
Fenwick share
51.7%
xG for / against
4.92 / 5.23
Defense pair

126:14 together · 8 games

xG share49.2%
Corsi for / against
129 / 129
Fenwick for / against
92 / 89
Corsi share
50.0%
Fenwick share
50.8%
xG for / against
6.10 / 6.30
All observed combinations

Vancouver Canucks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

76:25 together · 9 games

xG share47.3%
Corsi for / against
77 / 74
Fenwick for / against
57 / 59
Corsi share
51.0%
Fenwick share
49.1%
xG for / against
3.46 / 3.85
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Arturs Silovs

Pittsburgh Penguins · Last start: Jan 22

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
139
Save %
91.4
Goals allowed
12
Close-range shots %
26.6

Kevin Lankinen

Vancouver Canucks · Last start: Jan 23

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
165
Save %
89.1
Goals allowed
18
Close-range shots %
33.9
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 25, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Pittsburgh Penguins

xG for / game
3.60
xG against / game
2.79
xG differential / game
0.81

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Vancouver Canucks

xG for / game
3.08
xG against / game
3.80
xG differential / game
-0.73

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 25, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Pittsburgh Penguins

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
63.6
Corsi share (%)
52.7
Fenwick share (%)
53.2
Faceoff win %
51.1
Penalties / game
3.1

Shots / game: 29.7 · Shooting: 12.1% · Avg distance: 31.0 ft

Vancouver Canucks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
61.3
Corsi share (%)
50.0
Fenwick share (%)
47.5
Faceoff win %
46.8
Penalties / game
2.9

Shots / game: 27.7 · Shooting: 7.2% · Avg distance: 31.3 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT
Metric
Vancouver Canucks VAN
11Points5
0.458Points %0.192
40Goals for37
40Goals against60
0Goal differential-23
W2Current streakL4
Road versus home
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT road
Metric
Vancouver Canucks VAN home
7Games6
1Wins1
3Points2
-6Goal differential-8
Last 10 games
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT
Metric
Vancouver Canucks VAN
3-6-1Record0-9-1
7Points1
27Goals for20
35Goals against45
-8Goal differential-25
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Pittsburgh Penguins PIT 6 wins
10 games reviewed
Vancouver Canucks VAN 4 wins
Total goals35 – 31
Goal differential +4 / -4
Goals per game3.5 / 3.1
Shots per game32.9 / 27.8
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Oct 21, 2025
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
1 - 5 24 - 26 View
Nov 27, 2024
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
4 - 5 29 - 23 View
Oct 26, 2024
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
3 - 4 24 - 34 View
Feb 27, 2024
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
4 - 3 40 - 35 View
Jan 11, 2024
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
4 - 3 29 - 35 View
Jan 10, 2023
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
4 - 5 24 - 36 View
Oct 28, 2022
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
1 - 5 35 - 29 View
Dec 4, 2021
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
4 - 1 44 - 23 View
Nov 24, 2021
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
1 - 4 37 - 37 View
Dec 21, 2019
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
1 - 4 29 - 14 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.