Away team
Pittsburgh Penguins
56.3%
Fair American
-129
Fair decimal
1.78
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Toronto Maple Leafs prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 16, 2027
NHL matchup
Pittsburgh Penguins at Toronto Maple Leafs
View the PlayerWON model prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 16, 2027.
January 16, 2027
· 6:00 PM CST
Model favourite
Pittsburgh Penguins
at 56.3%
Prediction
Model versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Toronto Maple Leafs
43.7%
Fair American
+129
Fair decimal
2.29
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
PIT
|
Metric |
TOR
|
|---|---|---|
| 98 | Points | 78 |
| 0.598 | Points % | 0.476 |
| 293 | Goals for | 253 |
| 268 | Goals against | 299 |
| 25 | Goal differential | -46 |
| L3 | Current streak | L5 |
Road versus home
|
PIT road
|
Metric |
TOR home
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 21 | Wins | 18 |
| 50 | Points | 44 |
| 18 | Goal differential | -10 |
Last 10 games
|
PIT
|
Metric |
TOR
|
|---|---|---|
| 5-5-0 | Record | 2-7-1 |
| 10 | Points | 5 |
| 46 | Goals for | 28 |
| 40 | Goals against | 47 |
| 6 | Goal differential | -19 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
PIT
2 wins
10
games reviewed
TOR
8 wins
Total goals26 – 45
Goal differential
-19
/
+19
Goals per game2.6 / 4.5
Shots per game32.2 / 29.9
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2025 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
3 - 6 | 32 - 31 | View |
| Nov 29, 2025 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
7 - 2 | 23 - 35 | View |
| Nov 3, 2025 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
3 - 4 | 37 - 20 | View |
| Mar 2, 2025 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
6 - 5 | 33 - 34 | View |
| Dec 7, 2024 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
2 - 5 | 27 - 29 | View |
| Oct 12, 2024 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
2 - 4 | 23 - 33 | View |
| Apr 8, 2024 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
2 - 3 | 33 - 23 | View |
| Dec 16, 2023 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
0 - 7 | 38 - 35 | View |
| Nov 25, 2023 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
2 - 3 | 33 - 35 | View |
| Nov 26, 2022 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
4 - 1 | 41 - 26 | View |