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Pittsburgh Penguins vs Seattle Kraken prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 19, 2026

NHL matchup

Pittsburgh Penguins at Seattle Kraken

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 19, 2026.

January 19, 2026 · 4:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 19. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Pittsburgh Penguins

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

103:03 together · 8 games

xG share58.8%
Corsi for / against
127 / 104
Fenwick for / against
95 / 64
Corsi share
55.0%
Fenwick share
59.7%
xG for / against
5.98 / 4.18
Defense pair

163:55 together · 10 games

xG share53.2%
Corsi for / against
166 / 162
Fenwick for / against
116 / 105
Corsi share
50.6%
Fenwick share
52.5%
xG for / against
7.92 / 6.96
All observed combinations

Seattle Kraken

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

86:48 together · 8 games

xG share47.7%
Corsi for / against
70 / 90
Fenwick for / against
50 / 66
Corsi share
43.8%
Fenwick share
43.1%
xG for / against
3.36 / 3.68
Defense pair

169:42 together · 10 games

xG share46.3%
Corsi for / against
158 / 181
Fenwick for / against
116 / 130
Corsi share
46.6%
Fenwick share
47.2%
xG for / against
6.99 / 8.10
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Arturs Silovs

Pittsburgh Penguins · Last start: Jan 17

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
134
Save %
90.3
Goals allowed
13
Close-range shots %
28.4

Philipp Grubauer

Seattle Kraken · Last start: Jan 17

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
154
Save %
90.9
Goals allowed
14
Close-range shots %
30.5
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 19, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Pittsburgh Penguins

xG for / game
3.52
xG against / game
2.67
xG differential / game
0.85

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Seattle Kraken

xG for / game
2.90
xG against / game
3.22
xG differential / game
-0.32

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 19, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Pittsburgh Penguins

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
65.1
Corsi share (%)
52.9
Fenwick share (%)
53.8
Faceoff win %
52.5
Penalties / game
3.4

Shots / game: 30.7 · Shooting: 10.7% · Avg distance: 31.7 ft

Seattle Kraken

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
51.5
Corsi share (%)
43.8
Fenwick share (%)
45.1
Faceoff win %
49.3
Penalties / game
2.1

Shots / game: 24.1 · Shooting: 14.1% · Avg distance: 33.2 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT
Metric
Seattle Kraken SEA
11Points17
0.458Points %0.654
40Goals for50
40Goals against46
0Goal differential4
W2Current streakW1
Road versus home
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT road
Metric
Seattle Kraken SEA home
7Games6
1Wins4
3Points8
-6Goal differential1
Last 10 games
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT
Metric
Seattle Kraken SEA
3-6-1Record6-3-1
7Points13
27Goals for37
35Goals against41
-8Goal differential-4
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Pittsburgh Penguins PIT 2 wins
9 games reviewed
Seattle Kraken SEA 7 wins
Total goals18 – 22
Goal differential -4 / +4
Goals per game2.0 / 2.44
Shots per game31.7 / 25.6
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Nov 22, 2025
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
3 - 2 21 - 32 View
Jan 25, 2025
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
1 - 4 29 - 25 View
Jan 14, 2025
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
4 - 2 18 - 33 View
Feb 29, 2024
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
0 - 2 33 - 28 View
Jan 15, 2024
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
0 - 3 22 - 33 View
Nov 5, 2022
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
3 - 2 28 - 37 View
Oct 29, 2022
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
1 - 3 33 - 30 View
Jan 27, 2022
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
2 - 1 29 - 24 View
Dec 6, 2021
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
6 - 1 31 - 29 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.