Away team
Pittsburgh Penguins
50.9%
Fair American
-104
Fair decimal
1.96
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Philadelphia Flyers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 30, 2027
NHL matchup
Pittsburgh Penguins at Philadelphia Flyers
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 30, 2027.
March 30, 2027
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Pittsburgh Penguins at 50.9%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Philadelphia Flyers
49.1%
Fair American
+104
Fair decimal
2.04
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Mar 30, 2027.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 8
- Record
- 5-3
- Net units
- 2.59
- ROI
- 32.4%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 8
- Record
- 4-4
- Net units
- 0.85
- ROI
- 10.7%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 4
- Record
- 2-2
- Net units
- -0.38
- ROI
- -9.5%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 1
- Record
- 0-1
- Net units
- -1.00
- ROI
- -100.0%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 6
- Record
- 2-4
- Net units
- -0.64
- ROI
- -10.7%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 0-3
- Net units
- -3.00
- ROI
- -100.0%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 30. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Pittsburgh Penguins
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
62:36 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 62 / 60
- Fenwick for / against
- 44 / 50
- Corsi share
- 50.8%
- Fenwick share
- 46.8%
- xG for / against
- 3.72 / 4.52
Defense pair
83:42 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 96 / 88
- Fenwick for / against
- 70 / 70
- Corsi share
- 52.2%
- Fenwick share
- 50.0%
- xG for / against
- 3.95 / 5.54
Philadelphia Flyers
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
66:54 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 50 / 52
- Fenwick for / against
- 30 / 37
- Corsi share
- 49.0%
- Fenwick share
- 44.8%
- xG for / against
- 3.16 / 2.13
Defense pair
113:05 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 104 / 100
- Fenwick for / against
- 73 / 66
- Corsi share
- 51.0%
- Fenwick share
- 52.5%
- xG for / against
- 4.75 / 4.64
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Pittsburgh Penguins
Expected starter unavailable.
Philadelphia Flyers
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Arturs Silovs
Pittsburgh Penguins · Last start: Oct 24
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 138
- Save %
- 90.6
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 32.6
Joseph Woll
Philadelphia Flyers · Last start: Oct 28
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 137
- Save %
- 87.6
- Goals allowed
- 17
- Close-range shots %
- 31.4
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 30, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Pittsburgh Penguins
- xG for / game
- 3.15
- xG against / game
- 3.33
- xG differential / game
- -0.18
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Philadelphia Flyers
- xG for / game
- 2.73
- xG against / game
- 3.30
- xG differential / game
- -0.57
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 30, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Pittsburgh Penguins
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 57.9
- Corsi share (%)
- 50.9
- Fenwick share (%)
- 50.1
- Faceoff win %
- 46.6
- Penalties / game
- 2.9
Shots / game: 26.5 · Shooting: 9.8% · Avg distance: 31.3 ft
Philadelphia Flyers
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 52.8
- Corsi share (%)
- 47.8
- Fenwick share (%)
- 46.4
- Faceoff win %
- 49.8
- Penalties / game
- 3.9
Shots / game: 24.6 · Shooting: 9.3% · Avg distance: 30.6 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
PIT
|
Metric |
PHI
|
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Points | 10 |
| 0.458 | Points % | 0.333 |
| 40 | Goals for | 29 |
| 40 | Goals against | 51 |
| 0 | Goal differential | -22 |
| W2 | Current streak | L1 |
Road versus home
|
PIT road
|
Metric |
PHI home
|
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Games | 8 |
| 1 | Wins | 2 |
| 3 | Points | 7 |
| -6 | Goal differential | -11 |
Last 10 games
|
PIT
|
Metric |
PHI
|
|---|---|---|
| 3-6-1 | Record | 3-5-2 |
| 7 | Points | 8 |
| 27 | Goals for | 23 |
| 35 | Goals against | 32 |
| -8 | Goal differential | -9 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
PIT
6 wins
10
games reviewed
PHI
4 wins
Total goals45 – 33
Goal differential
+12
/
-12
Goals per game4.5 / 3.3
Shots per game28.0 / 27.3
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2026 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
7 - 0 | 38 - 19 | View |
| Mar 7, 2026 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
4 - 3 | 15 - 23 | View |
| Jan 15, 2026 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
3 - 6 | 33 - 30 | View |
| Dec 1, 2025 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
5 - 1 | 27 - 29 | View |
| Oct 28, 2025 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
2 - 3 | 26 - 34 | View |
| Feb 27, 2025 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
4 - 5 | 37 - 25 | View |
| Feb 25, 2025 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
1 - 6 | 24 - 38 | View |
| Feb 8, 2025 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
2 - 3 | 33 - 20 | View |
| Dec 23, 2024 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
3 - 7 | 27 - 22 | View |
| Feb 25, 2024 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
6 - 7 | 21 - 32 | View |