Pittsburgh Penguins vs Philadelphia Flyers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for September 30, 2026

NHL matchup

Pittsburgh Penguins at Philadelphia Flyers

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for September 30, 2026.

September 30, 2026 · 6:30 PM CST
Away

Pittsburgh Penguins

41-25-16
at
Home

Philadelphia Flyers

43-27-12
Model V2 favourite Pittsburgh Penguins at 58.2%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Pittsburgh Penguins logo
Away team

Pittsburgh Penguins

58.2%
Fair American -139
Fair decimal 1.72
Best market +114 · BetRivers
Market implied 46.7%
Edge +11.5%
Expected value +24.5%
Calculate value
Philadelphia Flyers logo
Home team

Philadelphia Flyers

41.8%
Fair American +139
Fair decimal 2.39
Best market -125 · BetMGM
Market implied 55.6%
Edge -13.8%
Expected value -24.8%
Calculate value
Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT
Metric
Philadelphia Flyers PHI
98Points98
0.598Points %0.598
293Goals for250
268Goals against243
25Goal differential7
L3Current streakW3
Road versus home
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT road
Metric
Philadelphia Flyers PHI home
41Games41
21Wins20
50Points48
18Goal differential-2
Last 10 games
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT
Metric
Philadelphia Flyers PHI
5-5-0Record7-3-0
10Points14
46Goals for36
40Goals against25
6Goal differential11
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Pittsburgh Penguins PIT 6 wins
10 games reviewed
Philadelphia Flyers PHI 4 wins
Total goals42 – 34
Goal differential +8 / -8
Goals per game4.2 / 3.4
Shots per game28.1 / 29.1
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Mar 7, 2026
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
4 - 3 15 - 23 View
Jan 15, 2026
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
3 - 6 33 - 30 View
Dec 1, 2025
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
5 - 1 27 - 29 View
Oct 28, 2025
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
2 - 3 26 - 34 View
Feb 27, 2025
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
4 - 5 37 - 25 View
Feb 25, 2025
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
1 - 6 24 - 38 View
Feb 8, 2025
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
2 - 3 33 - 20 View
Dec 23, 2024
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
3 - 7 27 - 22 View
Feb 25, 2024
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
6 - 7 21 - 32 View
Jan 8, 2024
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
4 - 1 39 - 37 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings PIT PHI