Forward trio
109:14 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 108 / 93
- Fenwick for / against
- 89 / 70
- Corsi share
- 53.7%
- Fenwick share
- 56.0%
- xG for / against
- 8.84 / 4.11
Pittsburgh Penguins vs New York Rangers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for February 28, 2026
NHL matchup
Pittsburgh Penguins at New York Rangers
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for February 28, 2026.
February 28, 2026
· 11:30 AM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 28. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Pittsburgh Penguins
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
108:22 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 95 / 76
- Fenwick for / against
- 71 / 55
- Corsi share
- 55.6%
- Fenwick share
- 56.3%
- xG for / against
- 5.56 / 4.17
New York Rangers
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
114:32 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 97 / 117
- Fenwick for / against
- 71 / 90
- Corsi share
- 45.3%
- Fenwick share
- 44.1%
- xG for / against
- 4.47 / 5.29
Defense pair
132:55 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 105 / 133
- Fenwick for / against
- 70 / 103
- Corsi share
- 44.1%
- Fenwick share
- 40.5%
- xG for / against
- 4.30 / 5.69
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Arturs Silovs
Pittsburgh Penguins · Last start: Feb 26
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 140
- Save %
- 92.9
- Goals allowed
- 10
- Close-range shots %
- 36.4
Igor Shesterkin
New York Rangers · Last start: Feb 26
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 130
- Save %
- 93.8
- Goals allowed
- 8
- Close-range shots %
- 33.8
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 28, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Pittsburgh Penguins
- xG for / game
- 3.70
- xG against / game
- 3.00
- xG differential / game
- 0.70
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
New York Rangers
- xG for / game
- 2.59
- xG against / game
- 3.17
- xG differential / game
- -0.59
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 28, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Pittsburgh Penguins
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 59.6
- Corsi share (%)
- 51.2
- Fenwick share (%)
- 52.4
- Faceoff win %
- 47.2
- Penalties / game
- 3.4
Shots / game: 30.4 · Shooting: 15.1% · Avg distance: 30.9 ft
New York Rangers
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 52.6
- Corsi share (%)
- 46.0
- Fenwick share (%)
- 45.6
- Faceoff win %
- 57.2
- Penalties / game
- 4.0
Shots / game: 24.0 · Shooting: 11.2% · Avg distance: 33.7 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
PIT
|
Metric |
NYR
|
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Points | 15 |
| 0.458 | Points % | 0.536 |
| 40 | Goals for | 44 |
| 40 | Goals against | 42 |
| 0 | Goal differential | 2 |
| W2 | Current streak | L3 |
Road versus home
|
PIT road
|
Metric |
NYR home
|
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Games | 7 |
| 1 | Wins | 6 |
| 3 | Points | 12 |
| -6 | Goal differential | 16 |
Last 10 games
|
PIT
|
Metric |
NYR
|
|---|---|---|
| 3-6-1 | Record | 4-5-1 |
| 7 | Points | 9 |
| 27 | Goals for | 33 |
| 35 | Goals against | 36 |
| -8 | Goal differential | -3 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
PIT
4 wins
10
games reviewed
NYR
6 wins
Total goals27 – 38
Goal differential
-11
/
+11
Goals per game2.7 / 3.8
Shots per game29.2 / 28.1
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 |
New York Rangers
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
5 - 6 | 20 - 34 | View |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
New York Rangers
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
6 - 1 | 30 - 19 | View |
| Oct 7, 2025 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
New York Rangers
|
3 - 0 | 31 - 25 | View |
| Feb 23, 2025 |
New York Rangers
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
5 - 3 | 16 - 40 | View |
| Feb 7, 2025 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
New York Rangers
|
3 - 2 | 26 - 24 | View |
| Dec 6, 2024 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
New York Rangers
|
2 - 4 | 22 - 32 | View |
| Oct 9, 2024 |
New York Rangers
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
6 - 0 | 40 - 31 | View |
| Apr 1, 2024 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
New York Rangers
|
5 - 2 | 20 - 30 | View |
| Mar 16, 2024 |
New York Rangers
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
7 - 4 | 28 - 37 | View |
| Nov 22, 2023 |
New York Rangers
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
1 - 0 | 36 - 32 | View |