Forward trio
62:30 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 46 / 71
- Fenwick for / against
- 36 / 49
- Corsi share
- 39.3%
- Fenwick share
- 42.4%
- xG for / against
- 2.50 / 2.50
Pittsburgh Penguins vs New York Islanders prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 30, 2026
NHL matchup
Pittsburgh Penguins at New York Islanders
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 30, 2026.
March 30, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 30. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Pittsburgh Penguins
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
148:53 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 149 / 131
- Fenwick for / against
- 110 / 106
- Corsi share
- 53.2%
- Fenwick share
- 50.9%
- xG for / against
- 7.28 / 7.88
New York Islanders
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
55:20 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 69 / 51
- Fenwick for / against
- 55 / 41
- Corsi share
- 57.5%
- Fenwick share
- 57.3%
- xG for / against
- 3.65 / 2.52
Defense pair
109:28 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 92 / 112
- Fenwick for / against
- 71 / 82
- Corsi share
- 45.1%
- Fenwick share
- 46.4%
- xG for / against
- 5.89 / 4.45
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Stuart Skinner
Pittsburgh Penguins · Last start: Mar 28
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 151
- Save %
- 86.8
- Goals allowed
- 20
- Close-range shots %
- 33.1
Ilya Sorokin
New York Islanders · Last start: Mar 28
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 118
- Save %
- 91.5
- Goals allowed
- 10
- Close-range shots %
- 32.2
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 30, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Pittsburgh Penguins
- xG for / game
- 3.37
- xG against / game
- 3.81
- xG differential / game
- -0.44
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
New York Islanders
- xG for / game
- 3.41
- xG against / game
- 3.04
- xG differential / game
- 0.37
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 30, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Pittsburgh Penguins
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 57.8
- Corsi share (%)
- 47.3
- Fenwick share (%)
- 46.8
- Faceoff win %
- 44.3
- Penalties / game
- 4.2
Shots / game: 26.7 · Shooting: 13.1% · Avg distance: 32.0 ft
New York Islanders
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 62.5
- Corsi share (%)
- 52.6
- Fenwick share (%)
- 53.1
- Faceoff win %
- 55.6
- Penalties / game
- 2.8
Shots / game: 30.9 · Shooting: 9.1% · Avg distance: 32.3 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
PIT
|
Metric |
NYI
|
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Points | 12 |
| 0.458 | Points % | 0.545 |
| 40 | Goals for | 32 |
| 40 | Goals against | 29 |
| 0 | Goal differential | 3 |
| W2 | Current streak | L1 |
Road versus home
|
PIT road
|
Metric |
NYI home
|
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Games | 6 |
| 1 | Wins | 4 |
| 3 | Points | 9 |
| -6 | Goal differential | 8 |
Last 10 games
|
PIT
|
Metric |
NYI
|
|---|---|---|
| 3-6-1 | Record | 5-3-2 |
| 7 | Points | 12 |
| 27 | Goals for | 31 |
| 35 | Goals against | 27 |
| -8 | Goal differential | 4 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
PIT
4 wins
10
games reviewed
NYI
6 wins
Total goals37 – 35
Goal differential
+2
/
-2
Goals per game3.7 / 3.5
Shots per game34.0 / 31.4
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
New York Islanders
|
4 - 5 | 35 - 23 | View |
| Oct 9, 2025 |
New York Islanders
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
3 - 4 | 37 - 28 | View |
| Mar 18, 2025 |
New York Islanders
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
4 - 2 | 38 - 21 | View |
| Dec 29, 2024 |
New York Islanders
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
2 - 3 | 31 - 41 | View |
| Dec 28, 2024 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
New York Islanders
|
3 - 6 | 25 - 34 | View |
| Nov 5, 2024 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
New York Islanders
|
3 - 4 | 35 - 26 | View |
| Apr 17, 2024 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
New York Islanders
|
4 - 5 | 44 - 32 | View |
| Feb 20, 2024 |
New York Islanders
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
5 - 4 | 33 - 41 | View |
| Dec 31, 2023 |
New York Islanders
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
1 - 3 | 38 - 38 | View |
| Dec 27, 2023 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
New York Islanders
|
7 - 0 | 32 - 22 | View |