Away team
Pittsburgh Penguins
34.5%
Fair American
+190
Fair decimal
2.9
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Florida Panthers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for December 10, 2026
NHL matchup
Pittsburgh Penguins at Florida Panthers
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for December 10, 2026.
December 10, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Florida Panthers at 65.5%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Florida Panthers
65.5%
Fair American
-190
Fair decimal
1.53
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Dec 10, 2026.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 8
- Record
- 5-3
- Net units
- 2.59
- ROI
- 32.4%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 8
- Record
- 4-4
- Net units
- 0.85
- ROI
- 10.7%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 4
- Record
- 2-2
- Net units
- -0.38
- ROI
- -9.5%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 4
- Record
- 2-2
- Net units
- -1.10
- ROI
- -27.6%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 1
- Record
- 0-1
- Net units
- -1.00
- ROI
- -100.0%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 9
- Record
- 5-4
- Net units
- -0.93
- ROI
- -10.4%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 10. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Pittsburgh Penguins
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
62:36 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 62 / 60
- Fenwick for / against
- 44 / 50
- Corsi share
- 50.8%
- Fenwick share
- 46.8%
- xG for / against
- 3.72 / 4.52
Defense pair
83:42 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 96 / 88
- Fenwick for / against
- 70 / 70
- Corsi share
- 52.2%
- Fenwick share
- 50.0%
- xG for / against
- 3.95 / 5.54
Florida Panthers
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
77:07 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 102 / 57
- Fenwick for / against
- 80 / 48
- Corsi share
- 64.2%
- Fenwick share
- 62.5%
- xG for / against
- 5.59 / 3.21
Defense pair
126:24 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 130 / 94
- Fenwick for / against
- 98 / 77
- Corsi share
- 58.0%
- Fenwick share
- 56.0%
- xG for / against
- 5.44 / 4.23
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Pittsburgh Penguins
Expected starter unavailable.
Florida Panthers
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Arturs Silovs
Pittsburgh Penguins · Last start: Oct 24
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 138
- Save %
- 90.6
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 32.6
Akira Schmid
Florida Panthers · Last start: Oct 27
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 121
- Save %
- 89.3
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 33.1
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 10, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Pittsburgh Penguins
- xG for / game
- 3.15
- xG against / game
- 3.33
- xG differential / game
- -0.18
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Florida Panthers
- xG for / game
- 3.36
- xG against / game
- 2.74
- xG differential / game
- 0.62
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 10, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Pittsburgh Penguins
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 57.9
- Corsi share (%)
- 50.9
- Fenwick share (%)
- 50.1
- Faceoff win %
- 46.6
- Penalties / game
- 2.9
Shots / game: 26.5 · Shooting: 9.8% · Avg distance: 31.3 ft
Florida Panthers
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 60.5
- Corsi share (%)
- 54.8
- Fenwick share (%)
- 53.2
- Faceoff win %
- 45.6
- Penalties / game
- 5.6
Shots / game: 29.0 · Shooting: 11.4% · Avg distance: 32.4 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
PIT
|
Metric |
FLA
|
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Points | 16 |
| 0.458 | Points % | 0.615 |
| 40 | Goals for | 39 |
| 40 | Goals against | 37 |
| 0 | Goal differential | 2 |
| W2 | Current streak | W2 |
Road versus home
|
PIT road
|
Metric |
FLA home
|
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Games | 3 |
| 1 | Wins | 2 |
| 3 | Points | 4 |
| -6 | Goal differential | 3 |
Last 10 games
|
PIT
|
Metric |
FLA
|
|---|---|---|
| 3-6-1 | Record | 6-4-0 |
| 7 | Points | 12 |
| 27 | Goals for | 33 |
| 35 | Goals against | 30 |
| -8 | Goal differential | 3 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
PIT
5 wins
10
games reviewed
FLA
5 wins
Total goals38 – 31
Goal differential
+7
/
-7
Goals per game3.8 / 3.1
Shots per game25.6 / 30.9
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2026 |
Florida Panthers
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
0 - 4 | 26 - 21 | View |
| Apr 5, 2026 |
Florida Panthers
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
2 - 5 | 31 - 23 | View |
| Apr 4, 2026 |
Florida Panthers
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
4 - 9 | 23 - 31 | View |
| Oct 23, 2025 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Florida Panthers
|
5 - 3 | 17 - 37 | View |
| Mar 23, 2025 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Florida Panthers
|
3 - 4 | 27 - 31 | View |
| Jan 3, 2025 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Florida Panthers
|
2 - 3 | 31 - 33 | View |
| Dec 3, 2024 |
Florida Panthers
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
4 - 5 | 41 - 16 | View |
| Feb 14, 2024 |
Florida Panthers
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
5 - 2 | 23 - 27 | View |
| Jan 26, 2024 |
Florida Panthers
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
3 - 2 | 31 - 37 | View |
| Dec 8, 2023 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Florida Panthers
|
1 - 3 | 26 - 33 | View |