Away team
Pittsburgh Penguins
48.0%
Fair American
+108
Fair decimal
2.08
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Detroit Red Wings prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 25, 2027
NHL matchup
Pittsburgh Penguins at Detroit Red Wings
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 25, 2027.
January 25, 2027
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Detroit Red Wings at 52.0%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Detroit Red Wings
52.0%
Fair American
-108
Fair decimal
1.92
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Jan 25, 2027.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 8
- Record
- 5-3
- Net units
- 2.59
- ROI
- 32.4%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 8
- Record
- 4-4
- Net units
- 0.85
- ROI
- 10.7%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 4
- Record
- 2-2
- Net units
- -0.38
- ROI
- -9.5%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 6
- Record
- 2-4
- Net units
- -2.53
- ROI
- -42.2%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 7
- Record
- 3-4
- Net units
- -0.98
- ROI
- -14.1%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 9
- Record
- 4-5
- Net units
- -1.97
- ROI
- -21.8%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 25. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Pittsburgh Penguins
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
62:36 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 62 / 60
- Fenwick for / against
- 44 / 50
- Corsi share
- 50.8%
- Fenwick share
- 46.8%
- xG for / against
- 3.72 / 4.52
Defense pair
83:42 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 96 / 88
- Fenwick for / against
- 70 / 70
- Corsi share
- 52.2%
- Fenwick share
- 50.0%
- xG for / against
- 3.95 / 5.54
Detroit Red Wings
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
74:28 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 89 / 63
- Fenwick for / against
- 65 / 46
- Corsi share
- 58.6%
- Fenwick share
- 58.6%
- xG for / against
- 4.23 / 3.44
Defense pair
112:48 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 115 / 99
- Fenwick for / against
- 80 / 60
- Corsi share
- 53.7%
- Fenwick share
- 57.1%
- xG for / against
- 3.84 / 3.62
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Pittsburgh Penguins
Expected starter unavailable.
Detroit Red Wings
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Arturs Silovs
Pittsburgh Penguins · Last start: Oct 24
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 138
- Save %
- 90.6
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 32.6
Michal Postava
Detroit Red Wings · Last start: Oct 26
2 / 2 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 36
- Save %
- 88.9
- Goals allowed
- 4
- Close-range shots %
- 27.8
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 25, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Pittsburgh Penguins
- xG for / game
- 3.15
- xG against / game
- 3.33
- xG differential / game
- -0.18
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Detroit Red Wings
- xG for / game
- 3.35
- xG against / game
- 3.16
- xG differential / game
- 0.20
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 25, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Pittsburgh Penguins
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 57.9
- Corsi share (%)
- 50.9
- Fenwick share (%)
- 50.1
- Faceoff win %
- 46.6
- Penalties / game
- 2.9
Shots / game: 26.5 · Shooting: 9.8% · Avg distance: 31.3 ft
Detroit Red Wings
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 62.6
- Corsi share (%)
- 52.2
- Fenwick share (%)
- 52.9
- Faceoff win %
- 49.0
- Penalties / game
- 4.2
Shots / game: 30.0 · Shooting: 9.7% · Avg distance: 32.7 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
PIT
|
Metric |
DET
|
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Points | 13 |
| 0.458 | Points % | 0.542 |
| 40 | Goals for | 33 |
| 40 | Goals against | 37 |
| 0 | Goal differential | -4 |
| W2 | Current streak | W1 |
Road versus home
|
PIT road
|
Metric |
DET home
|
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Games | 7 |
| 1 | Wins | 3 |
| 3 | Points | 7 |
| -6 | Goal differential | -3 |
Last 10 games
|
PIT
|
Metric |
DET
|
|---|---|---|
| 3-6-1 | Record | 5-2-3 |
| 7 | Points | 13 |
| 27 | Goals for | 31 |
| 35 | Goals against | 32 |
| -8 | Goal differential | -1 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
PIT
7 wins
10
games reviewed
DET
3 wins
Total goals43 – 30
Goal differential
+13
/
-13
Goals per game4.3 / 3.0
Shots per game30.5 / 25.7
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2026 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
1 - 5 | 23 - 31 | View |
| Jan 3, 2026 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
4 - 1 | 31 - 12 | View |
| Jan 1, 2026 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
3 - 4 | 27 - 31 | View |
| Dec 31, 2024 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
2 - 4 | 25 - 25 | View |
| Nov 13, 2024 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
3 - 2 | 31 - 33 | View |
| Oct 10, 2024 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
6 - 3 | 28 - 32 | View |
| Apr 11, 2024 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
5 - 6 | 30 - 27 | View |
| Mar 17, 2024 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
3 - 6 | 28 - 38 | View |
| Oct 18, 2023 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
3 - 6 | 33 - 29 | View |
| Apr 8, 2023 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
5 - 1 | 28 - 20 | View |