Away team
Pittsburgh Penguins
47.8%
Fair American
+109
Fair decimal
2.09
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Carolina Hurricanes prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for December 26, 2026
NHL matchup
Pittsburgh Penguins at Carolina Hurricanes
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for December 26, 2026.
December 26, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Carolina Hurricanes at 52.2%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Carolina Hurricanes
52.2%
Fair American
-109
Fair decimal
1.92
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Dec 26, 2026.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 8
- Record
- 5-3
- Net units
- 2.59
- ROI
- 32.4%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 8
- Record
- 4-4
- Net units
- 0.85
- ROI
- 10.7%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 4
- Record
- 2-2
- Net units
- -0.38
- ROI
- -9.5%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 12
- Record
- 9-3
- Net units
- 2.25
- ROI
- 18.7%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 2
- Record
- 1-1
- Net units
- -0.35
- ROI
- -17.3%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 14
- Record
- 10-4
- Net units
- 1.55
- ROI
- 11.1%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 26. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Pittsburgh Penguins
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
62:36 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 62 / 60
- Fenwick for / against
- 44 / 50
- Corsi share
- 50.8%
- Fenwick share
- 46.8%
- xG for / against
- 3.72 / 4.52
Defense pair
83:42 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 96 / 88
- Fenwick for / against
- 70 / 70
- Corsi share
- 52.2%
- Fenwick share
- 50.0%
- xG for / against
- 3.95 / 5.54
Carolina Hurricanes
This selection is unavailable until complete validated shift records cover every selected game.
All observed combinationsAmbiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Pittsburgh Penguins
Expected starter unavailable.
Carolina Hurricanes
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Arturs Silovs
Pittsburgh Penguins · Last start: Oct 24
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 138
- Save %
- 90.6
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 32.6
Pyotr Kochetkov
Carolina Hurricanes · Last start: Oct 24
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 105
- Save %
- 92.4
- Goals allowed
- 8
- Close-range shots %
- 35.2
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 26, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Pittsburgh Penguins
- xG for / game
- 3.15
- xG against / game
- 3.33
- xG differential / game
- -0.18
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Carolina Hurricanes
- xG for / game
- 3.95
- xG against / game
- 2.42
- xG differential / game
- 1.53
9 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 26, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Pittsburgh Penguins
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 57.9
- Corsi share (%)
- 50.9
- Fenwick share (%)
- 50.1
- Faceoff win %
- 46.6
- Penalties / game
- 2.9
Shots / game: 26.5 · Shooting: 9.8% · Avg distance: 31.3 ft
Carolina Hurricanes
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 67.9
- Corsi share (%)
- 59.4
- Fenwick share (%)
- 60.4
- Faceoff win %
- 50.0
- Penalties / game
- 3.5
Shots / game: 35.3 · Shooting: 13.0% · Avg distance: 31.3 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
PIT
|
Metric |
CAR
|
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Points | 20 |
| 0.458 | Points % | 0.769 |
| 40 | Goals for | 51 |
| 40 | Goals against | 33 |
| 0 | Goal differential | 18 |
| W2 | Current streak | W1 |
Road versus home
|
PIT road
|
Metric |
CAR home
|
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Games | 4 |
| 1 | Wins | 2 |
| 3 | Points | 5 |
| -6 | Goal differential | 3 |
Last 10 games
|
PIT
|
Metric |
CAR
|
|---|---|---|
| 3-6-1 | Record | 8-1-1 |
| 7 | Points | 17 |
| 27 | Goals for | 46 |
| 35 | Goals against | 25 |
| -8 | Goal differential | 21 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
PIT
3 wins
10
games reviewed
CAR
7 wins
Total goals28 – 35
Goal differential
-7
/
+7
Goals per game2.8 / 3.5
Shots per game27.8 / 32.6
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 |
Carolina Hurricanes
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
5 - 1 | 26 - 19 | View |
| Mar 18, 2026 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Carolina Hurricanes
|
5 - 6 | 35 - 44 | View |
| Mar 10, 2026 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Carolina Hurricanes
|
4 - 5 | 28 - 43 | View |
| Dec 30, 2025 |
Carolina Hurricanes
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
1 - 5 | 28 - 28 | View |
| Jan 5, 2025 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Carolina Hurricanes
|
3 - 4 | 19 - 31 | View |
| Nov 7, 2024 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Carolina Hurricanes
|
1 - 5 | 36 - 18 | View |
| Oct 18, 2024 |
Carolina Hurricanes
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
4 - 1 | 38 - 26 | View |
| Mar 26, 2024 |
Carolina Hurricanes
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
1 - 4 | 39 - 22 | View |
| Jan 13, 2024 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Carolina Hurricanes
|
2 - 3 | 40 - 35 | View |
| Dec 21, 2023 |
Carolina Hurricanes
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
1 - 2 | 24 - 25 | View |