Away team
Pittsburgh Penguins
39.6%
Fair American
+153
Fair decimal
2.53
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Boston Bruins prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 6, 2027
NHL matchup
Pittsburgh Penguins at Boston Bruins
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 6, 2027.
March 6, 2027
· 11:30 AM CST
Model V2 pick:
Boston Bruins at 60.4%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Boston Bruins
60.4%
Fair American
-153
Fair decimal
1.66
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Mar 6, 2027.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 8
- Record
- 5-3
- Net units
- 2.59
- ROI
- 32.4%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 8
- Record
- 4-4
- Net units
- 0.85
- ROI
- 10.7%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 4
- Record
- 2-2
- Net units
- -0.38
- ROI
- -9.5%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 8
- Record
- 6-2
- Net units
- 3.03
- ROI
- 37.9%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 7
- Record
- 4-3
- Net units
- 0.79
- ROI
- 11.3%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 6
- Record
- 6-0
- Net units
- 4.68
- ROI
- 78.1%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 6. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Pittsburgh Penguins
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
62:36 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 62 / 60
- Fenwick for / against
- 44 / 50
- Corsi share
- 50.8%
- Fenwick share
- 46.8%
- xG for / against
- 3.72 / 4.52
Defense pair
83:42 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 96 / 88
- Fenwick for / against
- 70 / 70
- Corsi share
- 52.2%
- Fenwick share
- 50.0%
- xG for / against
- 3.95 / 5.54
Boston Bruins
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
69:27 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 65 / 78
- Fenwick for / against
- 47 / 45
- Corsi share
- 45.5%
- Fenwick share
- 51.1%
- xG for / against
- 3.99 / 3.07
Defense pair
113:24 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 96 / 122
- Fenwick for / against
- 70 / 81
- Corsi share
- 44.0%
- Fenwick share
- 46.4%
- xG for / against
- 5.44 / 5.77
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Pittsburgh Penguins
Expected starter unavailable.
Boston Bruins
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Arturs Silovs
Pittsburgh Penguins · Last start: Oct 24
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 138
- Save %
- 90.6
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 32.6
Jeremy Swayman
Boston Bruins · Last start: Oct 24
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 131
- Save %
- 90.8
- Goals allowed
- 12
- Close-range shots %
- 32.8
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 6, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Pittsburgh Penguins
- xG for / game
- 3.15
- xG against / game
- 3.33
- xG differential / game
- -0.18
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Boston Bruins
- xG for / game
- 3.30
- xG against / game
- 3.04
- xG differential / game
- 0.26
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 6, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Pittsburgh Penguins
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 57.9
- Corsi share (%)
- 50.9
- Fenwick share (%)
- 50.1
- Faceoff win %
- 46.6
- Penalties / game
- 2.9
Shots / game: 26.5 · Shooting: 9.8% · Avg distance: 31.3 ft
Boston Bruins
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 51.1
- Corsi share (%)
- 46.5
- Fenwick share (%)
- 48.3
- Faceoff win %
- 54.0
- Penalties / game
- 5.0
Shots / game: 26.2 · Shooting: 15.6% · Avg distance: 31.2 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
PIT
|
Metric |
BOS
|
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Points | 19 |
| 0.458 | Points % | 0.792 |
| 40 | Goals for | 48 |
| 40 | Goals against | 26 |
| 0 | Goal differential | 22 |
| W2 | Current streak | W2 |
Road versus home
|
PIT road
|
Metric |
BOS home
|
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Games | 6 |
| 1 | Wins | 5 |
| 3 | Points | 10 |
| -6 | Goal differential | 17 |
Last 10 games
|
PIT
|
Metric |
BOS
|
|---|---|---|
| 3-6-1 | Record | 7-2-1 |
| 7 | Points | 15 |
| 27 | Goals for | 41 |
| 35 | Goals against | 23 |
| -8 | Goal differential | 18 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
PIT
3 wins
10
games reviewed
BOS
7 wins
Total goals25 – 35
Goal differential
-10
/
+10
Goals per game2.5 / 3.5
Shots per game32.4 / 28.1
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 |
Boston Bruins
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
4 - 5 | 28 - 39 | View |
| Mar 3, 2026 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Boston Bruins
|
1 - 2 | 35 - 28 | View |
| Jan 11, 2026 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Boston Bruins
|
0 - 1 | 27 - 18 | View |
| Apr 13, 2025 |
Boston Bruins
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
4 - 1 | 32 - 24 | View |
| Mar 1, 2025 |
Boston Bruins
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
3 - 2 | 26 - 33 | View |
| Nov 29, 2024 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Boston Bruins
|
2 - 1 | 36 - 31 | View |
| Apr 13, 2024 |
Boston Bruins
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
6 - 4 | 31 - 32 | View |
| Mar 9, 2024 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Boston Bruins
|
1 - 5 | 39 - 23 | View |
| Jan 4, 2024 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Boston Bruins
|
6 - 5 | 35 - 29 | View |
| Apr 1, 2023 |
Boston Bruins
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
4 - 3 | 35 - 24 | View |