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Philadelphia Flyers vs Vancouver Canucks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for November 9, 2026

NHL matchup

Philadelphia Flyers at Vancouver Canucks

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for November 9, 2026.

November 9, 2026 · 8:30 PM CST
Away

Philadelphia Flyers

3-7-3

43.2%
at
Home

Vancouver Canucks

2-10-1

56.8% Model pick
Model V2 pick: Vancouver Canucks at 56.8%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Philadelphia Flyers logo
Away team

Philadelphia Flyers

43.2%
Fair American +131
Fair decimal 2.31
Calculate value
Vancouver Canucks logo
Home team

Vancouver Canucks

56.8%
Fair American -131
Fair decimal 1.76
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Nov 9, 2026.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 9. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Philadelphia Flyers

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

49:44 together · 7 games

xG share61.4%
Corsi for / against
40 / 38
Fenwick for / against
22 / 25
Corsi share
51.3%
Fenwick share
46.8%
xG for / against
2.09 / 1.31
Defense pair

106:21 together · 7 games

xG share53.1%
Corsi for / against
96 / 92
Fenwick for / against
69 / 59
Corsi share
51.1%
Fenwick share
53.9%
xG for / against
4.34 / 3.84
All observed combinations

Vancouver Canucks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

89:40 together · 10 games

xG share33.0%
Corsi for / against
62 / 102
Fenwick for / against
41 / 78
Corsi share
37.8%
Fenwick share
34.5%
xG for / against
2.98 / 6.05
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Joseph Woll

Philadelphia Flyers · Last start: Oct 24

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
134
Save %
88.8
Goals allowed
15
Close-range shots %
32.1

Leevi Meriläinen

Vancouver Canucks · Last start: Oct 25

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
188
Save %
90.4
Goals allowed
18
Close-range shots %
37.8
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 9, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Philadelphia Flyers

xG for / game
2.65
xG against / game
3.44
xG differential / game
-0.79

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Vancouver Canucks

xG for / game
2.09
xG against / game
4.36
xG differential / game
-2.26

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 9, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Philadelphia Flyers

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
50.2
Corsi share (%)
45.7
Fenwick share (%)
44.6
Faceoff win %
49.8
Penalties / game
4.2

Shots / game: 23.3 · Shooting: 8.6% · Avg distance: 31.2 ft

Vancouver Canucks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
43.8
Corsi share (%)
40.6
Fenwick share (%)
39.1
Faceoff win %
47.3
Penalties / game
3.8

Shots / game: 18.7 · Shooting: 10.7% · Avg distance: 32.3 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Philadelphia Flyers PHI
Metric
Vancouver Canucks VAN
9Points5
0.346Points %0.192
24Goals for37
42Goals against60
-18Goal differential-23
L1Current streakL4
Road versus home
Philadelphia Flyers PHI road
Metric
Vancouver Canucks VAN home
6Games6
1Wins1
3Points2
-8Goal differential-8
Last 10 games
Philadelphia Flyers PHI
Metric
Vancouver Canucks VAN
3-6-1Record0-9-1
7Points1
20Goals for20
29Goals against45
-9Goal differential-25
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Philadelphia Flyers PHI 7 wins
10 games reviewed
Vancouver Canucks VAN 3 wins
Total goals31 – 25
Goal differential +6 / -6
Goals per game3.1 / 2.5
Shots per game32.7 / 29.1
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Dec 30, 2025
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
6 - 3 33 - 35 View
Dec 22, 2025
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
2 - 5 25 - 39 View
Oct 19, 2024
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
3 - 0 32 - 26 View
Oct 11, 2024
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
3 - 2 31 - 26 View
Dec 28, 2023
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
4 - 1 25 - 27 View
Oct 17, 2023
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
0 - 2 26 - 42 View
Feb 18, 2023
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
2 - 6 37 - 23 View
Oct 15, 2022
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
2 - 3 30 - 31 View
Oct 28, 2021
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
2 - 1 28 - 28 View
Oct 15, 2021
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
5 - 4 39 - 35 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings PHI VAN