Away team
Philadelphia Flyers
35.0%
Fair American
+186
Fair decimal
2.86
Philadelphia Flyers vs San Jose Sharks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 1, 2027
NHL matchup
Philadelphia Flyers at San Jose Sharks
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 1, 2027.
January 1, 2027
· 3:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
San Jose Sharks at 65.0%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
San Jose Sharks
65.0%
Fair American
-186
Fair decimal
1.54
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Jan 1, 2027.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 1
- Record
- 0-1
- Net units
- -1.00
- ROI
- -100.0%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 2-3
- Net units
- 0.36
- ROI
- 7.2%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 0-3
- Net units
- -3.00
- ROI
- -100.0%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 4
- Record
- 2-2
- Net units
- 0.45
- ROI
- 11.3%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 9
- Record
- 4-5
- Net units
- 0.66
- ROI
- 7.3%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 1
- Record
- 1-0
- Net units
- 0.89
- ROI
- 89.3%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 1. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Philadelphia Flyers
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
59:45 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 48 / 43
- Fenwick for / against
- 28 / 29
- Corsi share
- 52.7%
- Fenwick share
- 49.1%
- xG for / against
- 2.99 / 1.57
Defense pair
111:09 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 103 / 97
- Fenwick for / against
- 73 / 63
- Corsi share
- 51.5%
- Fenwick share
- 53.7%
- xG for / against
- 4.75 / 4.21
San Jose Sharks
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
63:28 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 76 / 51
- Fenwick for / against
- 59 / 36
- Corsi share
- 59.8%
- Fenwick share
- 62.1%
- xG for / against
- 4.69 / 2.73
Defense pair
128:35 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 111 / 133
- Fenwick for / against
- 79 / 95
- Corsi share
- 45.5%
- Fenwick share
- 45.4%
- xG for / against
- 4.57 / 5.46
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Philadelphia Flyers
Expected starter unavailable.
San Jose Sharks
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Dan Vladar
Philadelphia Flyers · Last start: Oct 27
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 132
- Save %
- 90.2
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 31.1
Yaroslav Askarov
San Jose Sharks · Last start: Oct 27
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 158
- Save %
- 91.8
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 35.4
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 1, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Philadelphia Flyers
- xG for / game
- 2.87
- xG against / game
- 3.21
- xG differential / game
- -0.34
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
San Jose Sharks
- xG for / game
- 3.07
- xG against / game
- 3.93
- xG differential / game
- -0.86
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 1, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Philadelphia Flyers
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 53.1
- Corsi share (%)
- 48.5
- Fenwick share (%)
- 47.4
- Faceoff win %
- 48.9
- Penalties / game
- 4.0
Shots / game: 24.9 · Shooting: 8.8% · Avg distance: 30.7 ft
San Jose Sharks
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 58.6
- Corsi share (%)
- 47.0
- Fenwick share (%)
- 45.9
- Faceoff win %
- 48.0
- Penalties / game
- 4.1
Shots / game: 29.0 · Shooting: 9.3% · Avg distance: 34.0 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
PHI
|
Metric |
SJS
|
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Points | 13 |
| 0.357 | Points % | 0.500 |
| 27 | Goals for | 37 |
| 46 | Goals against | 45 |
| -19 | Goal differential | -8 |
| OT1 | Current streak | L2 |
Road versus home
|
PHI road
|
Metric |
SJS home
|
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Games | 5 |
| 1 | Wins | 2 |
| 3 | Points | 4 |
| -8 | Goal differential | -5 |
Last 10 games
|
PHI
|
Metric |
SJS
|
|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | Record | 4-5-1 |
| 8 | Points | 9 |
| 22 | Goals for | 28 |
| 29 | Goals against | 33 |
| -7 | Goal differential | -5 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
PHI
6 wins
10
games reviewed
SJS
4 wins
Total goals28 – 21
Goal differential
+7
/
-7
Goals per game2.8 / 2.1
Shots per game32.7 / 29.0
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
San Jose Sharks
|
4 - 1 | 28 - 25 | View |
| Dec 9, 2025 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
1 - 4 | 18 - 30 | View |
| Dec 31, 2024 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
San Jose Sharks
|
4 - 0 | 34 - 22 | View |
| Nov 11, 2024 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
3 - 4 | 31 - 43 | View |
| Mar 12, 2024 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
2 - 3 | 29 - 41 | View |
| Nov 7, 2023 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
San Jose Sharks
|
1 - 2 | 39 - 19 | View |
| Dec 29, 2022 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
San Jose Sharks
|
4 - 3 | 26 - 28 | View |
| Oct 23, 2022 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
3 - 0 | 25 - 30 | View |
| Jan 8, 2022 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
3 - 2 | 47 - 31 | View |
| Dec 30, 2021 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
San Jose Sharks
|
2 - 3 | 25 - 46 | View |