Forward trio
54:42 together · 6 games
- Corsi for / against
- 37 / 55
- Fenwick for / against
- 24 / 39
- Corsi share
- 40.2%
- Fenwick share
- 38.1%
- xG for / against
- 1.65 / 2.61
Philadelphia Flyers vs San Jose Sharks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 21, 2026
NHL matchup
Philadelphia Flyers at San Jose Sharks
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 21, 2026.
March 21, 2026
· 3:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 21. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Philadelphia Flyers
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
154:30 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 110 / 160
- Fenwick for / against
- 68 / 108
- Corsi share
- 40.7%
- Fenwick share
- 38.6%
- xG for / against
- 4.64 / 6.08
San Jose Sharks
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
99:40 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 95 / 83
- Fenwick for / against
- 75 / 62
- Corsi share
- 53.4%
- Fenwick share
- 54.7%
- xG for / against
- 6.02 / 5.21
Defense pair
127:45 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 121 / 121
- Fenwick for / against
- 92 / 94
- Corsi share
- 50.0%
- Fenwick share
- 49.5%
- xG for / against
- 7.05 / 8.05
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Samuel Ersson
Philadelphia Flyers · Last start: Mar 19
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 95
- Save %
- 88.4
- Goals allowed
- 11
- Close-range shots %
- 33.7
Alex Nedeljkovic
San Jose Sharks · Last start: Mar 19
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 135
- Save %
- 87.4
- Goals allowed
- 17
- Close-range shots %
- 36.3
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 21, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Philadelphia Flyers
- xG for / game
- 2.83
- xG against / game
- 2.79
- xG differential / game
- 0.05
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
San Jose Sharks
- xG for / game
- 2.75
- xG against / game
- 3.13
- xG differential / game
- -0.38
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 21, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Philadelphia Flyers
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 50.5
- Corsi share (%)
- 45.4
- Fenwick share (%)
- 45.1
- Faceoff win %
- 47.3
- Penalties / game
- 4.3
Shots / game: 22.4 · Shooting: 10.3% · Avg distance: 32.1 ft
San Jose Sharks
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 53.5
- Corsi share (%)
- 48.1
- Fenwick share (%)
- 49.0
- Faceoff win %
- 46.0
- Penalties / game
- 3.8
Shots / game: 26.3 · Shooting: 11.4% · Avg distance: 32.0 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
PHI
|
Metric |
SJS
|
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Points | 13 |
| 0.333 | Points % | 0.500 |
| 29 | Goals for | 37 |
| 51 | Goals against | 45 |
| -22 | Goal differential | -8 |
| L1 | Current streak | L2 |
Road versus home
|
PHI road
|
Metric |
SJS home
|
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Games | 5 |
| 1 | Wins | 2 |
| 3 | Points | 4 |
| -11 | Goal differential | -5 |
Last 10 games
|
PHI
|
Metric |
SJS
|
|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | Record | 4-5-1 |
| 8 | Points | 9 |
| 23 | Goals for | 28 |
| 32 | Goals against | 33 |
| -9 | Goal differential | -5 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
PHI
6 wins
10
games reviewed
SJS
4 wins
Total goals28 – 22
Goal differential
+6
/
-6
Goals per game2.8 / 2.2
Shots per game32.6 / 29.3
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
1 - 4 | 18 - 30 | View |
| Dec 31, 2024 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
San Jose Sharks
|
4 - 0 | 34 - 22 | View |
| Nov 11, 2024 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
3 - 4 | 31 - 43 | View |
| Mar 12, 2024 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
2 - 3 | 29 - 41 | View |
| Nov 7, 2023 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
San Jose Sharks
|
1 - 2 | 39 - 19 | View |
| Dec 29, 2022 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
San Jose Sharks
|
4 - 3 | 26 - 28 | View |
| Oct 23, 2022 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
3 - 0 | 25 - 30 | View |
| Jan 8, 2022 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
3 - 2 | 47 - 31 | View |
| Dec 30, 2021 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
San Jose Sharks
|
2 - 3 | 25 - 46 | View |
| Feb 25, 2020 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
2 - 4 | 28 - 27 | View |