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Philadelphia Flyers vs New Jersey Devils prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 1, 2026

NHL matchup

Philadelphia Flyers at New Jersey Devils

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 1, 2026.

October 1, 2026 · 6:00 PM CST
Away

Philadelphia Flyers

3-7-4

2
Final
Home

New Jersey Devils

8-4-0

3 Model pick
Model V2 pick: New Jersey Devils at 63.3% View final boxscore
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Philadelphia Flyers logo
Away team

Philadelphia Flyers

36.7%
Fair American +172
Fair decimal 2.72
Best market +146 · FanDuel
Market implied 40.7%
Edge -4.0%
Expected value -9.7%
Calculate value
New Jersey Devils logo
Home team

New Jersey Devils

63.3%
Fair American -172
Fair decimal 1.58
Best market -162 · DraftKings
Market implied 61.8%
Edge +1.5%
Expected value +2.4%
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Oct 1, 2026.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 1. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Philadelphia Flyers

1 / 1 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

16:21 together · 1 game

xG share28.9%
Corsi for / against
9 / 6
Fenwick for / against
5 / 5
Corsi share
60.0%
Fenwick share
50.0%
xG for / against
0.21 / 0.52
All observed combinations

New Jersey Devils

No completed regular-season games in this window.

All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Dan Vladar

Philadelphia Flyers · Last start: Sep 30

1 / 1 appearances covered

Shots faced
38
Save %
81.6
Goals allowed
7
Close-range shots %
39.5
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 1, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Philadelphia Flyers

xG for / game
1.64
xG against / game
5.02
xG differential / game
-3.38

1 / 1 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

New Jersey Devils

xG unavailable.

0 / 0 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 1, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Philadelphia Flyers

1 / 1 games covered

Attempts / game
47.0
Corsi share (%)
43.1
Fenwick share (%)
39.1
Faceoff win %
62.1
Penalties / game
5.0

Shots / game: 19.0 · Shooting: 0.0% · Avg distance: 35.7 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Philadelphia Flyers PHI
Metric
New Jersey Devils NJD
10Points16
0.357Points %0.667
27Goals for41
46Goals against33
-19Goal differential8
OT1Current streakW4
Road versus home
Philadelphia Flyers PHI road
Metric
New Jersey Devils NJD home
6Games8
1Wins6
3Points12
-8Goal differential11
Last 10 games
Philadelphia Flyers PHI
Metric
New Jersey Devils NJD
3-5-2Record7-3-0
8Points14
22Goals for38
29Goals against25
-7Goal differential13
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Philadelphia Flyers PHI 7 wins
10 games reviewed
New Jersey Devils NJD 3 wins
Total goals31 – 26
Goal differential +5 / -5
Goals per game3.1 / 2.6
Shots per game26.6 / 27.2
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Apr 7, 2026
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils
5 - 1 19 - 24 View
Nov 29, 2025
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils
5 - 3 31 - 32 View
Nov 22, 2025
New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
3 - 6 35 - 29 View
Mar 9, 2025
New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
3 - 1 23 - 24 View
Jan 29, 2025
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils
0 - 5 24 - 26 View
Jan 27, 2025
New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
2 - 4 33 - 26 View
Jan 18, 2025
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils
3 - 1 18 - 13 View
Apr 13, 2024
New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
0 - 1 20 - 21 View
Feb 17, 2024
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils
3 - 6 48 - 40 View
Dec 19, 2023
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils
3 - 2 26 - 26 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings PHI NJD