Away team
Philadelphia Flyers
30.6%
Fair American
+227
Fair decimal
3.27
Philadelphia Flyers vs Minnesota Wild prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for December 5, 2026
NHL matchup
Philadelphia Flyers at Minnesota Wild
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for December 5, 2026.
December 5, 2026
· 7:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Minnesota Wild at 69.4%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Minnesota Wild
69.4%
Fair American
-227
Fair decimal
1.44
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Dec 5, 2026.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 1
- Record
- 0-1
- Net units
- -1.00
- ROI
- -100.0%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 6
- Record
- 2-4
- Net units
- -0.64
- ROI
- -10.7%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 0-3
- Net units
- -3.00
- ROI
- -100.0%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 7
- Record
- 6-1
- Net units
- 2.96
- ROI
- 42.3%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 3-2
- Net units
- 0.36
- ROI
- 7.3%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 9
- Record
- 7-2
- Net units
- 2.61
- ROI
- 29.0%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 5. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Philadelphia Flyers
This selection is unavailable until complete validated shift records cover every selected game.
All observed combinationsMinnesota Wild
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
122:56 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 156 / 79
- Fenwick for / against
- 120 / 63
- Corsi share
- 66.4%
- Fenwick share
- 65.6%
- xG for / against
- 9.91 / 4.10
Defense pair
95:18 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 126 / 62
- Fenwick for / against
- 98 / 42
- Corsi share
- 67.0%
- Fenwick share
- 70.0%
- xG for / against
- 7.48 / 3.46
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Philadelphia Flyers
Expected starter unavailable.
Minnesota Wild
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Dan Vladar
Philadelphia Flyers · Last start: Oct 27
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 132
- Save %
- 90.2
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 31.1
Jesper Wallstedt
Minnesota Wild · Last start: Oct 27
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 120
- Save %
- 92.5
- Goals allowed
- 9
- Close-range shots %
- 31.7
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 5, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Philadelphia Flyers
- xG for / game
- 2.76
- xG against / game
- 3.28
- xG differential / game
- -0.52
9 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Minnesota Wild
- xG for / game
- 3.93
- xG against / game
- 2.71
- xG differential / game
- 1.21
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 5, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Philadelphia Flyers
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 53.1
- Corsi share (%)
- 48.5
- Fenwick share (%)
- 47.4
- Faceoff win %
- 48.9
- Penalties / game
- 4.0
Shots / game: 24.9 · Shooting: 8.8% · Avg distance: 30.7 ft
Minnesota Wild
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 64.7
- Corsi share (%)
- 55.3
- Fenwick share (%)
- 57.8
- Faceoff win %
- 49.5
- Penalties / game
- 4.3
Shots / game: 32.1 · Shooting: 10.3% · Avg distance: 32.8 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
PHI
|
Metric |
MIN
|
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Points | 20 |
| 0.333 | Points % | 0.714 |
| 29 | Goals for | 44 |
| 51 | Goals against | 31 |
| -22 | Goal differential | 13 |
| L1 | Current streak | W3 |
Road versus home
|
PHI road
|
Metric |
MIN home
|
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Games | 4 |
| 1 | Wins | 4 |
| 3 | Points | 8 |
| -11 | Goal differential | 7 |
Last 10 games
|
PHI
|
Metric |
MIN
|
|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | Record | 7-2-1 |
| 8 | Points | 15 |
| 23 | Goals for | 33 |
| 32 | Goals against | 23 |
| -9 | Goal differential | 10 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
PHI
6 wins
10
games reviewed
MIN
4 wins
Total goals35 – 33
Goal differential
+2
/
-2
Goals per game3.5 / 3.3
Shots per game28.9 / 26.6
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
Minnesota Wild
|
3 - 2 | 26 - 23 | View |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
Minnesota Wild
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
1 - 2 | 16 - 21 | View |
| Dec 14, 2024 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
Minnesota Wild
|
1 - 4 | 22 - 22 | View |
| Oct 26, 2024 |
Minnesota Wild
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
5 - 7 | 26 - 23 | View |
| Jan 12, 2024 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
Minnesota Wild
|
4 - 3 | 35 - 29 | View |
| Oct 26, 2023 |
Minnesota Wild
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
2 - 6 | 28 - 35 | View |
| Mar 23, 2023 |
Minnesota Wild
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
4 - 5 | 24 - 34 | View |
| Jan 26, 2023 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
Minnesota Wild
|
2 - 3 | 30 - 23 | View |
| Mar 29, 2022 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
Minnesota Wild
|
1 - 4 | 33 - 37 | View |
| Mar 3, 2022 |
Minnesota Wild
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
5 - 4 | 38 - 30 | View |