Forward trio
67:51 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 47 / 54
- Fenwick for / against
- 33 / 37
- Corsi share
- 46.5%
- Fenwick share
- 47.1%
- xG for / against
- 2.90 / 2.09
Philadelphia Flyers vs Minnesota Wild prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 12, 2026
NHL matchup
Philadelphia Flyers at Minnesota Wild
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 12, 2026.
March 12, 2026
· 7:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 12. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Philadelphia Flyers
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
164:41 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 120 / 146
- Fenwick for / against
- 80 / 109
- Corsi share
- 45.1%
- Fenwick share
- 42.3%
- xG for / against
- 5.80 / 6.98
Minnesota Wild
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
115:25 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 126 / 117
- Fenwick for / against
- 95 / 88
- Corsi share
- 51.9%
- Fenwick share
- 51.9%
- xG for / against
- 5.90 / 5.78
Defense pair
170:51 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 204 / 161
- Fenwick for / against
- 151 / 118
- Corsi share
- 55.9%
- Fenwick share
- 56.1%
- xG for / against
- 10.99 / 6.74
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Samuel Ersson
Philadelphia Flyers · Last start: Mar 11
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 93
- Save %
- 87.1
- Goals allowed
- 12
- Close-range shots %
- 33.3
Filip Gustavsson
Minnesota Wild · Last start: Mar 10
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 149
- Save %
- 96.0
- Goals allowed
- 6
- Close-range shots %
- 27.5
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 12, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Philadelphia Flyers
- xG for / game
- 2.60
- xG against / game
- 2.98
- xG differential / game
- -0.38
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Minnesota Wild
- xG for / game
- 3.28
- xG against / game
- 3.17
- xG differential / game
- 0.11
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 12, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Philadelphia Flyers
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 49.3
- Corsi share (%)
- 46.1
- Fenwick share (%)
- 44.8
- Faceoff win %
- 47.4
- Penalties / game
- 3.4
Shots / game: 21.6 · Shooting: 10.6% · Avg distance: 33.7 ft
Minnesota Wild
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 60.9
- Corsi share (%)
- 48.3
- Fenwick share (%)
- 48.9
- Faceoff win %
- 45.9
- Penalties / game
- 3.4
Shots / game: 28.8 · Shooting: 14.2% · Avg distance: 31.8 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
PHI
|
Metric |
MIN
|
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Points | 18 |
| 0.346 | Points % | 0.692 |
| 24 | Goals for | 41 |
| 42 | Goals against | 30 |
| -18 | Goal differential | 11 |
| L1 | Current streak | W2 |
Road versus home
|
PHI road
|
Metric |
MIN home
|
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Games | 4 |
| 1 | Wins | 4 |
| 3 | Points | 8 |
| -8 | Goal differential | 7 |
Last 10 games
|
PHI
|
Metric |
MIN
|
|---|---|---|
| 3-6-1 | Record | 6-3-1 |
| 7 | Points | 13 |
| 20 | Goals for | 32 |
| 29 | Goals against | 25 |
| -9 | Goal differential | 7 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
PHI
5 wins
10
games reviewed
MIN
5 wins
Total goals33 – 35
Goal differential
-2
/
+2
Goals per game3.3 / 3.5
Shots per game28.1 / 27.1
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 |
Minnesota Wild
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
1 - 2 | 16 - 21 | View |
| Dec 14, 2024 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
Minnesota Wild
|
1 - 4 | 22 - 22 | View |
| Oct 26, 2024 |
Minnesota Wild
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
5 - 7 | 26 - 23 | View |
| Jan 12, 2024 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
Minnesota Wild
|
4 - 3 | 35 - 29 | View |
| Oct 26, 2023 |
Minnesota Wild
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
2 - 6 | 28 - 35 | View |
| Mar 23, 2023 |
Minnesota Wild
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
4 - 5 | 24 - 34 | View |
| Jan 26, 2023 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
Minnesota Wild
|
2 - 3 | 30 - 23 | View |
| Mar 29, 2022 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
Minnesota Wild
|
1 - 4 | 33 - 37 | View |
| Mar 3, 2022 |
Minnesota Wild
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
5 - 4 | 38 - 30 | View |
| Dec 14, 2019 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
Minnesota Wild
|
1 - 4 | 18 - 28 | View |