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Philadelphia Flyers vs Detroit Red Wings prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for April 9, 2026

NHL matchup

Philadelphia Flyers at Detroit Red Wings

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for April 9, 2026.

April 9, 2026 · 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 9. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Philadelphia Flyers

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

154:31 together · 10 games

xG share59.7%
Corsi for / against
149 / 127
Fenwick for / against
115 / 98
Corsi share
54.0%
Fenwick share
54.0%
xG for / against
7.99 / 5.39
All observed combinations

Detroit Red Wings

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

98:29 together · 10 games

xG share46.9%
Corsi for / against
111 / 98
Fenwick for / against
76 / 65
Corsi share
53.1%
Fenwick share
53.9%
xG for / against
3.93 / 4.44
Defense pair

154:33 together · 10 games

xG share56.9%
Corsi for / against
159 / 120
Fenwick for / against
119 / 83
Corsi share
57.0%
Fenwick share
58.9%
xG for / against
6.76 / 5.12
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Dan Vladar

Philadelphia Flyers · Last start: Apr 7

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
117
Save %
90.6
Goals allowed
11
Close-range shots %
28.2

John Gibson

Detroit Red Wings · Last start: Apr 7

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
123
Save %
87.8
Goals allowed
15
Close-range shots %
34.1
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 9, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Philadelphia Flyers

xG for / game
3.47
xG against / game
2.27
xG differential / game
1.21

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Detroit Red Wings

xG for / game
3.07
xG against / game
3.40
xG differential / game
-0.33

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 9, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Philadelphia Flyers

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
55.2
Corsi share (%)
52.3
Fenwick share (%)
54.8
Faceoff win %
53.5
Penalties / game
3.3

Shots / game: 28.2 · Shooting: 12.4% · Avg distance: 32.4 ft

Detroit Red Wings

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
61.5
Corsi share (%)
51.0
Fenwick share (%)
51.1
Faceoff win %
49.6
Penalties / game
3.5

Shots / game: 29.8 · Shooting: 9.4% · Avg distance: 34.0 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Philadelphia Flyers PHI
Metric
Detroit Red Wings DET
10Points13
0.357Points %0.542
27Goals for33
46Goals against37
-19Goal differential-4
OT1Current streakW1
Road versus home
Philadelphia Flyers PHI road
Metric
Detroit Red Wings DET home
6Games7
1Wins3
3Points7
-8Goal differential-3
Last 10 games
Philadelphia Flyers PHI
Metric
Detroit Red Wings DET
3-5-2Record5-2-3
8Points13
22Goals for31
29Goals against32
-7Goal differential-1
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Philadelphia Flyers PHI 6 wins
10 games reviewed
Detroit Red Wings DET 4 wins
Total goals30 – 26
Goal differential +4 / -4
Goals per game3.0 / 2.6
Shots per game30.7 / 27.3
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Apr 2, 2026
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
4 - 2 19 - 34 View
Mar 28, 2026
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
5 - 3 26 - 35 View
Jan 21, 2025
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
1 - 2 28 - 26 View
Dec 18, 2024
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
4 - 6 19 - 24 View
Dec 12, 2024
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
1 - 4 26 - 36 View
Jan 25, 2024
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
0 - 3 30 - 17 View
Dec 22, 2023
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
6 - 7 43 - 37 View
Dec 16, 2023
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
0 - 1 32 - 34 View
Mar 25, 2023
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
0 - 3 29 - 22 View
Mar 5, 2023
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
1 - 3 26 - 37 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.