Forward trio
79:16 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 57 / 78
- Fenwick for / against
- 39 / 58
- Corsi share
- 42.2%
- Fenwick share
- 40.2%
- xG for / against
- 2.71 / 3.58
Philadelphia Flyers vs Detroit Red Wings prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 28, 2026
NHL matchup
Philadelphia Flyers at Detroit Red Wings
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 28, 2026.
March 28, 2026
· 7:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 28. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Philadelphia Flyers
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
145:19 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 114 / 150
- Fenwick for / against
- 82 / 107
- Corsi share
- 43.2%
- Fenwick share
- 43.4%
- xG for / against
- 5.80 / 6.00
Detroit Red Wings
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
72:53 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 84 / 64
- Fenwick for / against
- 72 / 40
- Corsi share
- 56.8%
- Fenwick share
- 64.3%
- xG for / against
- 4.99 / 2.54
Defense pair
161:13 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 168 / 125
- Fenwick for / against
- 134 / 91
- Corsi share
- 57.3%
- Fenwick share
- 59.6%
- xG for / against
- 9.30 / 5.66
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Samuel Ersson
Philadelphia Flyers · Last start: Mar 26
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 101
- Save %
- 93.1
- Goals allowed
- 7
- Close-range shots %
- 23.8
John Gibson
Detroit Red Wings · Last start: Mar 27
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 137
- Save %
- 92.0
- Goals allowed
- 11
- Close-range shots %
- 35.0
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 28, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Philadelphia Flyers
- xG for / game
- 3.47
- xG against / game
- 2.66
- xG differential / game
- 0.81
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Detroit Red Wings
- xG for / game
- 3.33
- xG against / game
- 2.98
- xG differential / game
- 0.35
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 28, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Philadelphia Flyers
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 54.0
- Corsi share (%)
- 48.1
- Fenwick share (%)
- 50.1
- Faceoff win %
- 49.6
- Penalties / game
- 4.7
Shots / game: 26.2 · Shooting: 11.1% · Avg distance: 32.4 ft
Detroit Red Wings
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 56.8
- Corsi share (%)
- 49.0
- Fenwick share (%)
- 51.0
- Faceoff win %
- 51.4
- Penalties / game
- 3.7
Shots / game: 28.8 · Shooting: 9.4% · Avg distance: 34.3 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
PHI
|
Metric |
DET
|
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Points | 13 |
| 0.357 | Points % | 0.542 |
| 27 | Goals for | 33 |
| 46 | Goals against | 37 |
| -19 | Goal differential | -4 |
| OT1 | Current streak | W1 |
Road versus home
|
PHI road
|
Metric |
DET home
|
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Games | 7 |
| 1 | Wins | 3 |
| 3 | Points | 7 |
| -8 | Goal differential | -3 |
Last 10 games
|
PHI
|
Metric |
DET
|
|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | Record | 5-2-3 |
| 8 | Points | 13 |
| 22 | Goals for | 31 |
| 29 | Goals against | 32 |
| -7 | Goal differential | -1 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
PHI
6 wins
10
games reviewed
DET
4 wins
Total goals28 – 26
Goal differential
+2
/
-2
Goals per game2.8 / 2.6
Shots per game30.5 / 28.1
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2025 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
1 - 2 | 28 - 26 | View |
| Dec 18, 2024 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
4 - 6 | 19 - 24 | View |
| Dec 12, 2024 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
1 - 4 | 26 - 36 | View |
| Jan 25, 2024 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
0 - 3 | 30 - 17 | View |
| Dec 22, 2023 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
6 - 7 | 43 - 37 | View |
| Dec 16, 2023 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
0 - 1 | 32 - 34 | View |
| Mar 25, 2023 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
0 - 3 | 29 - 22 | View |
| Mar 5, 2023 |
Detroit Red Wings
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
1 - 3 | 26 - 37 | View |
| Jan 21, 2023 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
2 - 1 | 25 - 31 | View |
| Mar 22, 2022 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
Detroit Red Wings
|
3 - 6 | 33 - 31 | View |