Away team
Philadelphia Flyers
33.6%
Fair American
+198
Fair decimal
2.98
Philadelphia Flyers vs Dallas Stars prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for February 18, 2027
NHL matchup
Philadelphia Flyers at Dallas Stars
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for February 18, 2027.
February 18, 2027
· 8:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Dallas Stars at 66.4%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Dallas Stars
66.4%
Fair American
-198
Fair decimal
1.51
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Feb 18, 2027.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 0
- Record
- 0-0
- Net units
- 0.00
- ROI
- —
Value Picks
- Bets
- 4
- Record
- 2-2
- Net units
- 1.36
- ROI
- 34.0%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 0-3
- Net units
- -3.00
- ROI
- -100.0%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 2-1
- Net units
- 0.09
- ROI
- 3.1%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 0
- Record
- 0-0
- Net units
- 0.00
- ROI
- —
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 9
- Record
- 6-3
- Net units
- 0.55
- ROI
- 6.1%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 18. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Philadelphia Flyers
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
49:44 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 40 / 38
- Fenwick for / against
- 22 / 25
- Corsi share
- 51.3%
- Fenwick share
- 46.8%
- xG for / against
- 2.09 / 1.31
Defense pair
106:21 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 96 / 92
- Fenwick for / against
- 69 / 59
- Corsi share
- 51.1%
- Fenwick share
- 53.9%
- xG for / against
- 4.34 / 3.84
Dallas Stars
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
52:30 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 52 / 43
- Fenwick for / against
- 36 / 23
- Corsi share
- 54.7%
- Fenwick share
- 61.0%
- xG for / against
- 2.76 / 0.94
Defense pair
96:24 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 99 / 73
- Fenwick for / against
- 66 / 48
- Corsi share
- 57.6%
- Fenwick share
- 57.9%
- xG for / against
- 3.83 / 2.68
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Philadelphia Flyers
Expected starter unavailable.
Dallas Stars
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Joseph Woll
Philadelphia Flyers · Last start: Oct 24
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 134
- Save %
- 88.8
- Goals allowed
- 15
- Close-range shots %
- 32.1
Jake Oettinger
Dallas Stars · Last start: Oct 25
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 103
- Save %
- 90.3
- Goals allowed
- 10
- Close-range shots %
- 34.0
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 18, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Philadelphia Flyers
- xG for / game
- 2.65
- xG against / game
- 3.44
- xG differential / game
- -0.79
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Dallas Stars
- xG for / game
- 3.33
- xG against / game
- 2.56
- xG differential / game
- 0.77
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 18, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Philadelphia Flyers
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 50.2
- Corsi share (%)
- 45.7
- Fenwick share (%)
- 44.6
- Faceoff win %
- 49.8
- Penalties / game
- 4.2
Shots / game: 23.3 · Shooting: 8.6% · Avg distance: 31.2 ft
Dallas Stars
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 58.0
- Corsi share (%)
- 53.6
- Fenwick share (%)
- 54.7
- Faceoff win %
- 55.7
- Penalties / game
- 4.0
Shots / game: 28.0 · Shooting: 11.1% · Avg distance: 31.0 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
PHI
|
Metric |
DAL
|
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Points | 15 |
| 0.346 | Points % | 0.682 |
| 24 | Goals for | 32 |
| 42 | Goals against | 20 |
| -18 | Goal differential | 12 |
| L1 | Current streak | W5 |
Road versus home
|
PHI road
|
Metric |
DAL home
|
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Games | 6 |
| 1 | Wins | 4 |
| 3 | Points | 8 |
| -8 | Goal differential | 5 |
Last 10 games
|
PHI
|
Metric |
DAL
|
|---|---|---|
| 3-6-1 | Record | 7-2-1 |
| 7 | Points | 15 |
| 20 | Goals for | 32 |
| 29 | Goals against | 16 |
| -9 | Goal differential | 16 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
PHI
2 wins
10
games reviewed
DAL
8 wins
Total goals20 – 36
Goal differential
-16
/
+16
Goals per game2.0 / 3.6
Shots per game31.0 / 25.6
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 |
Dallas Stars
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
1 - 2 | 18 - 30 | View |
| Nov 15, 2025 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
Dallas Stars
|
1 - 5 | 21 - 28 | View |
| Mar 22, 2025 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
Dallas Stars
|
2 - 3 | 24 - 19 | View |
| Jan 9, 2025 |
Dallas Stars
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
4 - 1 | 23 - 28 | View |
| Jan 18, 2024 |
Dallas Stars
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
1 - 5 | 15 - 43 | View |
| Oct 21, 2023 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
Dallas Stars
|
4 - 5 | 40 - 25 | View |
| Apr 6, 2023 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
Dallas Stars
|
1 - 4 | 25 - 30 | View |
| Nov 13, 2022 |
Dallas Stars
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
5 - 1 | 31 - 38 | View |
| Jan 24, 2022 |
Dallas Stars
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
3 - 1 | 36 - 28 | View |
| Nov 13, 2021 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
Dallas Stars
|
2 - 5 | 33 - 31 | View |