Away team
Philadelphia Flyers
41.0%
Fair American
+144
Fair decimal
2.44
Philadelphia Flyers vs Chicago Blackhawks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for December 27, 2026
NHL matchup
Philadelphia Flyers at Chicago Blackhawks
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for December 27, 2026.
December 27, 2026
· 2:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Chicago Blackhawks at 59.0%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Chicago Blackhawks
59.0%
Fair American
-144
Fair decimal
1.69
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Dec 27, 2026.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 1
- Record
- 0-1
- Net units
- -1.00
- ROI
- -100.0%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 2-3
- Net units
- 0.36
- ROI
- 7.2%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 0-3
- Net units
- -3.00
- ROI
- -100.0%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 3-2
- Net units
- 1.46
- ROI
- 29.2%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 11
- Record
- 4-7
- Net units
- -2.13
- ROI
- -19.4%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 0
- Record
- 0-0
- Net units
- 0.00
- ROI
- —
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 27. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Philadelphia Flyers
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
59:45 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 48 / 43
- Fenwick for / against
- 28 / 29
- Corsi share
- 52.7%
- Fenwick share
- 49.1%
- xG for / against
- 2.99 / 1.57
Defense pair
111:09 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 103 / 97
- Fenwick for / against
- 73 / 63
- Corsi share
- 51.5%
- Fenwick share
- 53.7%
- xG for / against
- 4.75 / 4.21
Chicago Blackhawks
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
66:26 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 40 / 56
- Fenwick for / against
- 32 / 40
- Corsi share
- 41.7%
- Fenwick share
- 44.4%
- xG for / against
- 2.67 / 2.20
Defense pair
121:03 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 69 / 113
- Fenwick for / against
- 56 / 85
- Corsi share
- 37.9%
- Fenwick share
- 39.7%
- xG for / against
- 3.65 / 5.24
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Philadelphia Flyers
Expected starter unavailable.
Chicago Blackhawks
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Dan Vladar
Philadelphia Flyers · Last start: Oct 27
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 132
- Save %
- 90.2
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 31.1
Spencer Knight
Chicago Blackhawks · Last start: Oct 27
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 153
- Save %
- 90.8
- Goals allowed
- 14
- Close-range shots %
- 42.5
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 27, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Philadelphia Flyers
- xG for / game
- 2.87
- xG against / game
- 3.21
- xG differential / game
- -0.34
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Chicago Blackhawks
- xG for / game
- 2.60
- xG against / game
- 3.39
- xG differential / game
- -0.79
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 27, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Philadelphia Flyers
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 53.1
- Corsi share (%)
- 48.5
- Fenwick share (%)
- 47.4
- Faceoff win %
- 48.9
- Penalties / game
- 4.0
Shots / game: 24.9 · Shooting: 8.8% · Avg distance: 30.7 ft
Chicago Blackhawks
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 47.9
- Corsi share (%)
- 44.9
- Fenwick share (%)
- 44.0
- Faceoff win %
- 44.0
- Penalties / game
- 3.5
Shots / game: 22.1 · Shooting: 10.9% · Avg distance: 30.5 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
PHI
|
Metric |
CHI
|
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Points | 8 |
| 0.357 | Points % | 0.333 |
| 27 | Goals for | 26 |
| 46 | Goals against | 44 |
| -19 | Goal differential | -18 |
| OT1 | Current streak | W1 |
Road versus home
|
PHI road
|
Metric |
CHI home
|
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Games | 8 |
| 1 | Wins | 4 |
| 3 | Points | 8 |
| -8 | Goal differential | -5 |
Last 10 games
|
PHI
|
Metric |
CHI
|
|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | Record | 4-6-0 |
| 8 | Points | 8 |
| 22 | Goals for | 24 |
| 29 | Goals against | 33 |
| -7 | Goal differential | -9 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
PHI
6 wins
10
games reviewed
CHI
4 wins
Total goals30 – 31
Goal differential
-1
/
+1
Goals per game3.0 / 3.1
Shots per game33.3 / 27.2
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2026 |
Chicago Blackhawks
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
1 - 5 | 26 - 42 | View |
| Dec 23, 2025 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
Chicago Blackhawks
|
3 - 1 | 26 - 21 | View |
| Mar 23, 2025 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
Chicago Blackhawks
|
4 - 7 | 29 - 29 | View |
| Nov 23, 2024 |
Chicago Blackhawks
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
2 - 3 | 21 - 37 | View |
| Mar 30, 2024 |
Chicago Blackhawks
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
5 - 1 | 24 - 31 | View |
| Feb 21, 2024 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
Chicago Blackhawks
|
3 - 1 | 33 - 22 | View |
| Apr 13, 2023 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
Chicago Blackhawks
|
5 - 4 | 36 - 38 | View |
| Jan 19, 2023 |
Chicago Blackhawks
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
4 - 1 | 29 - 38 | View |
| Apr 25, 2022 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
Chicago Blackhawks
|
1 - 3 | 34 - 33 | View |
| Mar 5, 2022 |
Chicago Blackhawks
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
3 - 4 | 29 - 27 | View |