Forward trio
92:20 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 88 / 103
- Fenwick for / against
- 60 / 79
- Corsi share
- 46.1%
- Fenwick share
- 43.2%
- xG for / against
- 4.41 / 4.89
Philadelphia Flyers vs Buffalo Sabres prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 14, 2026
NHL matchup
Philadelphia Flyers at Buffalo Sabres
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 14, 2026.
January 14, 2026
· 6:30 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 14. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Philadelphia Flyers
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
112:38 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 107 / 103
- Fenwick for / against
- 70 / 62
- Corsi share
- 51.0%
- Fenwick share
- 53.0%
- xG for / against
- 5.49 / 4.52
Buffalo Sabres
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
107:16 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 104 / 110
- Fenwick for / against
- 71 / 79
- Corsi share
- 48.6%
- Fenwick share
- 47.3%
- xG for / against
- 4.81 / 4.53
Defense pair
122:40 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 96 / 144
- Fenwick for / against
- 71 / 98
- Corsi share
- 40.0%
- Fenwick share
- 42.0%
- xG for / against
- 4.21 / 6.30
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Dan Vladar
Philadelphia Flyers · Last start: Jan 12
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 126
- Save %
- 89.7
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 27.0
Colten Ellis
Buffalo Sabres · Last start: Jan 12
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 128
- Save %
- 90.6
- Goals allowed
- 12
- Close-range shots %
- 32.8
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 14, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Philadelphia Flyers
- xG for / game
- 3.26
- xG against / game
- 2.76
- xG differential / game
- 0.49
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Buffalo Sabres
- xG for / game
- 2.87
- xG against / game
- 2.99
- xG differential / game
- -0.12
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 14, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Philadelphia Flyers
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 60.3
- Corsi share (%)
- 51.8
- Fenwick share (%)
- 53.1
- Faceoff win %
- 49.4
- Penalties / game
- 4.4
Shots / game: 29.0 · Shooting: 10.3% · Avg distance: 32.7 ft
Buffalo Sabres
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 56.1
- Corsi share (%)
- 47.0
- Fenwick share (%)
- 48.6
- Faceoff win %
- 48.4
- Penalties / game
- 2.4
Shots / game: 27.8 · Shooting: 13.3% · Avg distance: 35.1 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
PHI
|
Metric |
BUF
|
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Points | 11 |
| 0.346 | Points % | 0.500 |
| 24 | Goals for | 31 |
| 42 | Goals against | 41 |
| -18 | Goal differential | -10 |
| L1 | Current streak | OT1 |
Road versus home
|
PHI road
|
Metric |
BUF home
|
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Games | 6 |
| 1 | Wins | 3 |
| 3 | Points | 6 |
| -8 | Goal differential | -5 |
Last 10 games
|
PHI
|
Metric |
BUF
|
|---|---|---|
| 3-6-1 | Record | 4-3-3 |
| 7 | Points | 11 |
| 20 | Goals for | 28 |
| 29 | Goals against | 35 |
| -9 | Goal differential | -7 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
PHI
5 wins
10
games reviewed
BUF
5 wins
Total goals41 – 36
Goal differential
+5
/
-5
Goals per game4.1 / 3.6
Shots per game30.7 / 25.7
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
3 - 5 | 27 - 28 | View |
| Dec 3, 2025 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
2 - 5 | 29 - 35 | View |
| Apr 17, 2025 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
4 - 5 | 24 - 31 | View |
| Mar 29, 2025 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
4 - 7 | 21 - 32 | View |
| Nov 16, 2024 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
2 - 5 | 25 - 32 | View |
| Apr 5, 2024 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
2 - 4 | 34 - 19 | View |
| Nov 3, 2023 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
5 - 1 | 19 - 22 | View |
| Nov 1, 2023 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
5 - 2 | 15 - 40 | View |
| Apr 1, 2023 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
6 - 3 | 29 - 42 | View |
| Mar 17, 2023 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
2 - 5 | 38 - 22 | View |