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Philadelphia Flyers vs Boston Bruins prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 10, 2026

NHL matchup

Philadelphia Flyers at Boston Bruins

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 10, 2026.

October 10, 2026 · 12:00 PM CST
Away

Philadelphia Flyers

3-7-3

1
Final
Home

Boston Bruins

9-2-1

5 Model pick
Model V2 pick: Boston Bruins at 59.6% View final boxscore
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Philadelphia Flyers logo
Away team

Philadelphia Flyers

40.4%
Fair American +148
Fair decimal 2.48
Best market +117 · BetRivers
Market implied 46.1%
Edge -5.7%
Expected value -12.3%
Calculate value
Boston Bruins logo
Home team

Boston Bruins

59.6%
Fair American -148
Fair decimal 1.68
Best market -130 · BetOnline.ag
Market implied 56.5%
Edge +3.1%
Expected value +5.4%
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Oct 10, 2026.

Boston Bruins

All Model Picks

Bets
2
Record
1-1
Net units
-0.07
ROI
-3.7%

Value Picks

Bets
3
Record
1-2
Net units
-1.07
ROI
-35.8%

Market Favourite

Bets
1
Record
1-0
Net units
0.93
ROI
92.6%
Full team betting results

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 10. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Philadelphia Flyers

5 / 5 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

41:29 together · 3 games

xG share26.3%
Corsi for / against
35 / 66
Fenwick for / against
28 / 54
Corsi share
34.7%
Fenwick share
34.1%
xG for / against
1.29 / 3.62
All observed combinations

Boston Bruins

5 / 5 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

75:26 together · 5 games

xG share54.3%
Corsi for / against
61 / 65
Fenwick for / against
47 / 52
Corsi share
48.4%
Fenwick share
47.5%
xG for / against
3.30 / 2.78
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Joseph Woll

Philadelphia Flyers · Last start: Oct 8

3 / 3 appearances covered

Shots faced
110
Save %
92.7
Goals allowed
8
Close-range shots %
29.1

Jeremy Swayman

Boston Bruins · Last start: Oct 8

4 / 4 appearances covered

Shots faced
118
Save %
93.2
Goals allowed
8
Close-range shots %
36.4
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 10, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Philadelphia Flyers

xG for / game
2.41
xG against / game
4.25
xG differential / game
-1.84

5 / 5 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Boston Bruins

xG for / game
2.71
xG against / game
3.15
xG differential / game
-0.44

5 / 5 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 10, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Philadelphia Flyers

5 / 5 games covered

Attempts / game
46.4
Corsi share (%)
39.5
Fenwick share (%)
37.7
Faceoff win %
52.5
Penalties / game
4.4

Shots / game: 21.2 · Shooting: 5.7% · Avg distance: 31.4 ft

Boston Bruins

5 / 5 games covered

Attempts / game
51.4
Corsi share (%)
46.1
Fenwick share (%)
47.1
Faceoff win %
49.5
Penalties / game
4.4

Shots / game: 24.2 · Shooting: 12.4% · Avg distance: 31.9 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Philadelphia Flyers PHI
Metric
Boston Bruins BOS
9Points19
0.346Points %0.792
24Goals for48
42Goals against26
-18Goal differential22
L1Current streakW2
Road versus home
Philadelphia Flyers PHI road
Metric
Boston Bruins BOS home
6Games6
1Wins5
3Points10
-8Goal differential17
Last 10 games
Philadelphia Flyers PHI
Metric
Boston Bruins BOS
3-6-1Record7-2-1
7Points15
20Goals for41
29Goals against23
-9Goal differential18
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Philadelphia Flyers PHI 4 wins
10 games reviewed
Boston Bruins BOS 6 wins
Total goals26 – 34
Goal differential -8 / +8
Goals per game2.6 / 3.4
Shots per game28.1 / 27.2
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Apr 5, 2026
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
1 - 2 19 - 31 View
Feb 28, 2026
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
1 - 3 27 - 17 View
Jan 29, 2026
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
3 - 6 36 - 27 View
Dec 7, 2024
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
3 - 4 26 - 31 View
Nov 2, 2024
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
3 - 0 31 - 20 View
Oct 29, 2024
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
2 - 0 19 - 25 View
Mar 23, 2024
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
2 - 3 20 - 29 View
Mar 16, 2024
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
5 - 6 29 - 30 View
Jan 27, 2024
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
6 - 2 28 - 37 View
Apr 9, 2023
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
5 - 3 34 - 37 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings PHI BOS