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Philadelphia Flyers vs Boston Bruins prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 29, 2026

NHL matchup

Philadelphia Flyers at Boston Bruins

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 29, 2026.

January 29, 2026 · 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 29. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Philadelphia Flyers

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

111:36 together · 10 games

xG share49.7%
Corsi for / against
82 / 94
Fenwick for / against
62 / 64
Corsi share
46.6%
Fenwick share
49.2%
xG for / against
4.18 / 4.24
All observed combinations

Boston Bruins

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

126:35 together · 10 games

xG share49.6%
Corsi for / against
115 / 121
Fenwick for / against
79 / 87
Corsi share
48.7%
Fenwick share
47.6%
xG for / against
5.19 / 5.26
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Dan Vladar

Philadelphia Flyers · Last start: Jan 28

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
102
Save %
86.3
Goals allowed
14
Close-range shots %
25.5

Jeremy Swayman

Boston Bruins · Last start: Jan 27

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
141
Save %
90.8
Goals allowed
13
Close-range shots %
35.5
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 29, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Philadelphia Flyers

xG for / game
2.97
xG against / game
3.29
xG differential / game
-0.32

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Boston Bruins

xG for / game
2.96
xG against / game
3.09
xG differential / game
-0.13

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 29, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Philadelphia Flyers

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
53.1
Corsi share (%)
48.5
Fenwick share (%)
49.6
Faceoff win %
48.2
Penalties / game
5.2

Shots / game: 23.9 · Shooting: 11.3% · Avg distance: 31.3 ft

Boston Bruins

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
53.4
Corsi share (%)
46.5
Fenwick share (%)
47.1
Faceoff win %
50.7
Penalties / game
4.0

Shots / game: 26.0 · Shooting: 15.0% · Avg distance: 34.5 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Philadelphia Flyers PHI
Metric
Boston Bruins BOS
10Points19
0.357Points %0.731
27Goals for49
46Goals against28
-19Goal differential21
OT1Current streakL1
Road versus home
Philadelphia Flyers PHI road
Metric
Boston Bruins BOS home
6Games6
1Wins5
3Points10
-8Goal differential17
Last 10 games
Philadelphia Flyers PHI
Metric
Boston Bruins BOS
3-5-2Record7-2-1
8Points15
22Goals for41
29Goals against21
-7Goal differential20
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Philadelphia Flyers PHI 2 wins
10 games reviewed
Boston Bruins BOS 8 wins
Total goals21 – 39
Goal differential -18 / +18
Goals per game2.1 / 3.9
Shots per game27.6 / 29.6
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Dec 7, 2024
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
3 - 4 26 - 31 View
Nov 2, 2024
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
3 - 0 31 - 20 View
Oct 29, 2024
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
2 - 0 19 - 25 View
Mar 23, 2024
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
2 - 3 20 - 29 View
Mar 16, 2024
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
5 - 6 29 - 30 View
Jan 27, 2024
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
6 - 2 28 - 37 View
Apr 9, 2023
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
5 - 3 34 - 37 View
Jan 16, 2023
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
0 - 6 29 - 29 View
Nov 17, 2022
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
1 - 4 23 - 32 View
Jan 13, 2022
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
2 - 3 27 - 36 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.