Forward trio
100:13 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 92 / 83
- Fenwick for / against
- 71 / 58
- Corsi share
- 52.6%
- Fenwick share
- 55.0%
- xG for / against
- 5.17 / 3.22
Ottawa Senators vs Washington Capitals prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 18, 2026
NHL matchup
Ottawa Senators at Washington Capitals
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 18, 2026.
March 18, 2026
· 6:30 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 18. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Ottawa Senators
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
124:50 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 123 / 90
- Fenwick for / against
- 89 / 66
- Corsi share
- 57.7%
- Fenwick share
- 57.4%
- xG for / against
- 6.27 / 4.14
Washington Capitals
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
35:59 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 36 / 27
- Fenwick for / against
- 32 / 17
- Corsi share
- 57.1%
- Fenwick share
- 65.3%
- xG for / against
- 2.49 / 1.50
Defense pair
58:23 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 62 / 58
- Fenwick for / against
- 49 / 46
- Corsi share
- 51.7%
- Fenwick share
- 51.6%
- xG for / against
- 2.91 / 4.00
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Linus Ullmark
Ottawa Senators · Last start: Mar 15
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 111
- Save %
- 89.2
- Goals allowed
- 12
- Close-range shots %
- 35.1
Logan Thompson
Washington Capitals · Last start: Mar 14
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 133
- Save %
- 90.2
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 36.8
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 18, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Ottawa Senators
- xG for / game
- 3.56
- xG against / game
- 2.39
- xG differential / game
- 1.17
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Washington Capitals
- xG for / game
- 3.25
- xG against / game
- 3.37
- xG differential / game
- -0.12
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 18, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Ottawa Senators
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 62.1
- Corsi share (%)
- 55.0
- Fenwick share (%)
- 55.1
- Faceoff win %
- 51.5
- Penalties / game
- 3.8
Shots / game: 30.0 · Shooting: 12.0% · Avg distance: 31.3 ft
Washington Capitals
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 56.8
- Corsi share (%)
- 48.0
- Fenwick share (%)
- 50.2
- Faceoff win %
- 50.5
- Penalties / game
- 3.4
Shots / game: 26.8 · Shooting: 10.1% · Avg distance: 34.5 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
OTT
|
Metric |
WSH
|
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Points | 14 |
| 0.615 | Points % | 0.636 |
| 39 | Goals for | 39 |
| 38 | Goals against | 34 |
| 1 | Goal differential | 5 |
| L1 | Current streak | W2 |
Road versus home
|
OTT road
|
Metric |
WSH home
|
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Games | 8 |
| 3 | Wins | 6 |
| 6 | Points | 12 |
| 0 | Goal differential | 6 |
Last 10 games
|
OTT
|
Metric |
WSH
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-4-0 | Record | 6-4-0 |
| 12 | Points | 12 |
| 29 | Goals for | 34 |
| 30 | Goals against | 32 |
| -1 | Goal differential | 2 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
OTT
6 wins
10
games reviewed
WSH
4 wins
Total goals38 – 29
Goal differential
+9
/
-9
Goals per game3.8 / 2.9
Shots per game30.2 / 27.3
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 |
Washington Capitals
at
Ottawa Senators
|
3 - 4 | 29 - 32 | View |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Washington Capitals
|
7 - 1 | 34 - 13 | View |
| Mar 3, 2025 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Washington Capitals
|
4 - 5 | 37 - 41 | View |
| Jan 30, 2025 |
Washington Capitals
at
Ottawa Senators
|
4 - 5 | 35 - 34 | View |
| Jan 16, 2025 |
Washington Capitals
at
Ottawa Senators
|
1 - 0 | 26 - 24 | View |
| Apr 7, 2024 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Washington Capitals
|
3 - 2 | 21 - 22 | View |
| Feb 26, 2024 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Washington Capitals
|
3 - 6 | 21 - 20 | View |
| Oct 18, 2023 |
Washington Capitals
at
Ottawa Senators
|
1 - 6 | 24 - 29 | View |
| Dec 29, 2022 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Washington Capitals
|
4 - 3 | 45 - 23 | View |
| Dec 22, 2022 |
Washington Capitals
at
Ottawa Senators
|
3 - 2 | 40 - 25 | View |