Away team
Ottawa Senators
68.5%
Fair American
-217
Fair decimal
1.46
Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 3, 2026
NHL matchup
Ottawa Senators at Toronto Maple Leafs
View the PlayerWON model prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 3, 2026.
October 3, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model favourite
Ottawa Senators
at 68.5%
Prediction
Model versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Toronto Maple Leafs
31.5%
Fair American
+217
Fair decimal
3.17
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
OTT
|
Metric |
TOR
|
|---|---|---|
| 99 | Points | 78 |
| 0.604 | Points % | 0.476 |
| 278 | Goals for | 253 |
| 246 | Goals against | 299 |
| 32 | Goal differential | -46 |
| W1 | Current streak | L5 |
Road versus home
|
OTT road
|
Metric |
TOR home
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 21 | Wins | 18 |
| 47 | Points | 44 |
| 1 | Goal differential | -10 |
Last 10 games
|
OTT
|
Metric |
TOR
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-3-1 | Record | 2-7-1 |
| 13 | Points | 5 |
| 36 | Goals for | 28 |
| 26 | Goals against | 47 |
| 10 | Goal differential | -19 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
OTT
8 wins
10
games reviewed
TOR
2 wins
Total goals39 – 24
Goal differential
+15
/
-15
Goals per game3.9 / 2.4
Shots per game34.4 / 26.2
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2026 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Ottawa Senators
|
1 - 3 | 20 - 38 | View |
| Mar 21, 2026 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Ottawa Senators
|
2 - 5 | 14 - 43 | View |
| Feb 28, 2026 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
5 - 2 | 40 - 23 | View |
| Dec 27, 2025 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
5 - 7 | 31 - 33 | View |
| Mar 15, 2025 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
4 - 2 | 25 - 23 | View |
| Jan 25, 2025 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Ottawa Senators
|
1 - 2 | 29 - 23 | View |
| Nov 12, 2024 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
3 - 0 | 41 - 27 | View |
| Feb 10, 2024 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Ottawa Senators
|
3 - 5 | 35 - 32 | View |
| Dec 27, 2023 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
4 - 2 | 30 - 36 | View |
| Dec 7, 2023 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Ottawa Senators
|
4 - 3 | 22 - 41 | View |