Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for February 28, 2026
Get the playerWON NHL prediction for the Ottawa Senators at Toronto Maple Leafs matchup on February 28, 2026. playerWON’s machine-learning model currently gives the Ottawa Senators a 62.8% win probability.
🤖 Model favours Ottawa Senators
(62.8%)
Compare market odds, fair odds, and value below.
February 28, 2026
Visitor Model vs Market
Ottawa Senators
62.8%
Fair American: -169
Fair Decimal: 1.59
Calculate Value →
Home Model vs Market
Toronto Maple Leafs
37.2%
Fair American: +169
Fair Decimal: 2.69
Calculate Value →
📊 Season Overview
|
OTT
|
Metric |
TOR
|
|---|---|---|
| 99 | Points | 78 |
| 0.604 | Points % | 0.476 |
| 278 | Goals For | 253 |
| 246 | Goals Against | 299 |
| 32 | Goal Differential | -46 |
| W1 | Current Streak | L5 |
🚍 Road vs 🏠 Home
|
OTT (Road)
|
Metric |
TOR (Home)
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 21 | Wins | 18 |
| 47 | Points | 44 |
| 1 | Goal Differential | -10 |
🔥 Last 10 Games
|
OTT
|
Metric |
TOR
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-3-1 | Record | 2-7-1 |
| 13 | Points | 5 |
| 36 | Goals For | 28 |
| 26 | Goals Against | 47 |
| 10 | Goal Differential | -19 |
🥅 Last 10 Head-to-Head Games
|
OTT
|
H2H Summary |
TOR
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-4 | Record | 4-6 |
| 36 | Total Goals | 30 |
| +6 | Goal Differential | -6 |
| 3.6 | Goals / Game | 3.0 |
| 33.7 | Shots / Game | 28.4 |
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 |
Ottawa Senators
@
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
|
5 - 7 | 31 - 33 | View |
| Mar 15, 2025 |
Ottawa Senators
@
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
|
4 - 2 | 25 - 23 | View |
| Jan 25, 2025 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
Ottawa Senators
@
|
1 - 2 | 29 - 23 | View |
| Nov 12, 2024 |
Ottawa Senators
@
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
|
3 - 0 | 41 - 27 | View |
| Feb 10, 2024 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
Ottawa Senators
@
|
3 - 5 | 35 - 32 | View |
| Dec 27, 2023 |
Ottawa Senators
@
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
|
4 - 2 | 30 - 36 | View |
| Dec 7, 2023 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
Ottawa Senators
@
|
4 - 3 | 22 - 41 | View |
| Nov 8, 2023 |
Ottawa Senators
@
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
|
6 - 3 | 31 - 30 | View |
| Apr 1, 2023 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
Ottawa Senators
@
|
3 - 0 | 20 - 31 | View |
| Mar 18, 2023 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
@
Ottawa Senators
@
|
5 - 4 | 29 - 52 | View |
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s machine-learning model, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.