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Ottawa Senators vs St. Louis Blues prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 8, 2027

NHL matchup

Ottawa Senators at St. Louis Blues

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 8, 2027.

January 8, 2027 · 7:00 PM CST
Away

Ottawa Senators

8-5-0

38.6%
at
Home

St. Louis Blues

5-6-1

61.4% Model pick
Model V2 pick: St. Louis Blues at 61.4%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Ottawa Senators logo
Away team

Ottawa Senators

38.6%
Fair American +159
Fair decimal 2.59
Calculate value
St. Louis Blues logo
Home team

St. Louis Blues

61.4%
Fair American -159
Fair decimal 1.63
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Jan 8, 2027.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 8. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Ottawa Senators

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

39:16 together · 9 games

xG share42.5%
Corsi for / against
34 / 43
Fenwick for / against
21 / 39
Corsi share
44.2%
Fenwick share
35.0%
xG for / against
1.84 / 2.49
Defense pair

81:43 together · 9 games

xG share62.9%
Corsi for / against
98 / 76
Fenwick for / against
67 / 46
Corsi share
56.3%
Fenwick share
59.3%
xG for / against
4.60 / 2.72
All observed combinations

St. Louis Blues

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

109:44 together · 10 games

xG share47.3%
Corsi for / against
96 / 102
Fenwick for / against
67 / 86
Corsi share
48.5%
Fenwick share
43.8%
xG for / against
5.37 / 5.98
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Jonas Johansson

Ottawa Senators · Last start: Oct 27

2 / 2 appearances covered

Shots faced
56
Save %
89.3
Goals allowed
6
Close-range shots %
33.9

Jordan Binnington

St. Louis Blues · Last start: Oct 27

4 / 4 appearances covered

Shots faced
103
Save %
84.5
Goals allowed
16
Close-range shots %
35.0
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 8, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Ottawa Senators

xG for / game
2.85
xG against / game
2.73
xG differential / game
0.12

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

St. Louis Blues

xG for / game
3.12
xG against / game
2.68
xG differential / game
0.44

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 8, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Ottawa Senators

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
56.2
Corsi share (%)
49.4
Fenwick share (%)
48.9
Faceoff win %
52.4
Penalties / game
4.3

Shots / game: 25.3 · Shooting: 10.7% · Avg distance: 31.9 ft

St. Louis Blues

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
57.0
Corsi share (%)
51.6
Fenwick share (%)
49.6
Faceoff win %
51.5
Penalties / game
2.8

Shots / game: 28.7 · Shooting: 10.5% · Avg distance: 30.9 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Ottawa Senators OTT
Metric
St. Louis Blues STL
16Points11
0.615Points %0.458
39Goals for35
38Goals against37
1Goal differential-2
L1Current streakL2
Road versus home
Ottawa Senators OTT road
Metric
St. Louis Blues STL home
6Games6
3Wins3
6Points7
0Goal differential0
Last 10 games
Ottawa Senators OTT
Metric
St. Louis Blues STL
6-4-0Record4-5-1
12Points9
29Goals for30
30Goals against31
-1Goal differential-1
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Ottawa Senators OTT 3 wins
10 games reviewed
St. Louis Blues STL 7 wins
Total goals30 – 32
Goal differential -2 / +2
Goals per game3.0 / 3.2
Shots per game31.0 / 26.1
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Oct 13, 2026
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators
7 - 2 26 - 17 View
Dec 6, 2025
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators
2 - 1 20 - 42 View
Nov 28, 2025
Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
3 - 4 28 - 31 View
Jan 3, 2025
Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
0 - 4 20 - 25 View
Oct 29, 2024
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators
1 - 8 27 - 35 View
Mar 21, 2024
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators
5 - 2 27 - 39 View
Dec 14, 2023
Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
2 - 4 34 - 30 View
Feb 19, 2023
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators
2 - 7 32 - 34 View
Jan 16, 2023
Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
1 - 2 33 - 20 View
Mar 8, 2022
Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
4 - 1 28 - 23 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings OTT STL