Forward trio
106:31 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 104 / 91
- Fenwick for / against
- 85 / 59
- Corsi share
- 53.3%
- Fenwick share
- 59.0%
- xG for / against
- 5.10 / 2.49
Ottawa Senators vs Seattle Kraken prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 7, 2026
NHL matchup
Ottawa Senators at Seattle Kraken
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 7, 2026.
March 7, 2026
· 9:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 7. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Ottawa Senators
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
156:00 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 150 / 119
- Fenwick for / against
- 117 / 85
- Corsi share
- 55.8%
- Fenwick share
- 57.9%
- xG for / against
- 8.08 / 4.20
Seattle Kraken
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
106:53 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 100 / 101
- Fenwick for / against
- 74 / 72
- Corsi share
- 49.8%
- Fenwick share
- 50.7%
- xG for / against
- 5.08 / 4.27
Defense pair
144:59 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 123 / 142
- Fenwick for / against
- 96 / 102
- Corsi share
- 46.4%
- Fenwick share
- 48.5%
- xG for / against
- 6.27 / 6.18
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Linus Ullmark
Ottawa Senators · Last start: Mar 5
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 116
- Save %
- 89.7
- Goals allowed
- 12
- Close-range shots %
- 31.9
Philipp Grubauer
Seattle Kraken · Last start: Mar 4
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 139
- Save %
- 89.2
- Goals allowed
- 15
- Close-range shots %
- 33.8
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 7, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Ottawa Senators
- xG for / game
- 3.39
- xG against / game
- 2.31
- xG differential / game
- 1.08
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Seattle Kraken
- xG for / game
- 2.71
- xG against / game
- 3.00
- xG differential / game
- -0.29
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 7, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Ottawa Senators
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 60.1
- Corsi share (%)
- 53.9
- Fenwick share (%)
- 56.2
- Faceoff win %
- 48.9
- Penalties / game
- 3.2
Shots / game: 29.9 · Shooting: 12.7% · Avg distance: 32.2 ft
Seattle Kraken
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 49.9
- Corsi share (%)
- 44.8
- Fenwick share (%)
- 46.0
- Faceoff win %
- 52.2
- Penalties / game
- 3.3
Shots / game: 24.6 · Shooting: 12.2% · Avg distance: 34.1 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
OTT
|
Metric |
SEA
|
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Points | 15 |
| 0.667 | Points % | 0.625 |
| 38 | Goals for | 45 |
| 34 | Goals against | 42 |
| 4 | Goal differential | 3 |
| W1 | Current streak | L1 |
Road versus home
|
OTT road
|
Metric |
SEA home
|
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games | 5 |
| 3 | Wins | 3 |
| 6 | Points | 6 |
| 3 | Goal differential | 0 |
Last 10 games
|
OTT
|
Metric |
SEA
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-4-0 | Record | 6-3-1 |
| 12 | Points | 13 |
| 31 | Goals for | 38 |
| 31 | Goals against | 38 |
| 0 | Goal differential | 0 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
OTT
6 wins
9
games reviewed
SEA
3 wins
Total goals28 – 26
Goal differential
+2
/
-2
Goals per game3.11 / 2.89
Shots per game25.4 / 30.1
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 |
Seattle Kraken
at
Ottawa Senators
|
3 - 4 | 33 - 23 | View |
| Dec 17, 2024 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Seattle Kraken
|
3 - 0 | 27 - 30 | View |
| Nov 2, 2024 |
Seattle Kraken
at
Ottawa Senators
|
0 - 3 | 22 - 23 | View |
| Jan 4, 2024 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Seattle Kraken
|
1 - 4 | 33 - 28 | View |
| Dec 2, 2023 |
Seattle Kraken
at
Ottawa Senators
|
0 - 2 | 39 - 28 | View |
| Mar 9, 2023 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Seattle Kraken
|
5 - 4 | 31 - 33 | View |
| Jan 7, 2023 |
Seattle Kraken
at
Ottawa Senators
|
8 - 4 | 24 - 23 | View |
| Apr 18, 2022 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Seattle Kraken
|
2 - 4 | 14 - 29 | View |
| Mar 10, 2022 |
Seattle Kraken
at
Ottawa Senators
|
3 - 4 | 33 - 27 | View |