Forward trio
77:16 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 90 / 61
- Fenwick for / against
- 65 / 44
- Corsi share
- 59.6%
- Fenwick share
- 59.6%
- xG for / against
- 4.42 / 2.01
Ottawa Senators vs Pittsburgh Penguins prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for February 2, 2026
NHL matchup
Ottawa Senators at Pittsburgh Penguins
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for February 2, 2026.
February 2, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 2. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Ottawa Senators
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
136:20 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 121 / 100
- Fenwick for / against
- 88 / 62
- Corsi share
- 54.8%
- Fenwick share
- 58.7%
- xG for / against
- 5.71 / 3.16
Pittsburgh Penguins
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
98:47 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 100 / 83
- Fenwick for / against
- 84 / 61
- Corsi share
- 54.6%
- Fenwick share
- 57.9%
- xG for / against
- 6.53 / 3.23
Defense pair
108:49 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 127 / 106
- Fenwick for / against
- 95 / 76
- Corsi share
- 54.5%
- Fenwick share
- 55.6%
- xG for / against
- 6.81 / 5.67
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Linus Ullmark
Ottawa Senators · Last start: Jan 31
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 111
- Save %
- 91.0
- Goals allowed
- 10
- Close-range shots %
- 31.5
Stuart Skinner
Pittsburgh Penguins · Last start: Jan 31
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 128
- Save %
- 89.1
- Goals allowed
- 14
- Close-range shots %
- 35.9
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 2, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Ottawa Senators
- xG for / game
- 3.22
- xG against / game
- 2.42
- xG differential / game
- 0.79
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Pittsburgh Penguins
- xG for / game
- 3.86
- xG against / game
- 2.88
- xG differential / game
- 0.98
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 2, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Ottawa Senators
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 59.4
- Corsi share (%)
- 53.3
- Fenwick share (%)
- 54.5
- Faceoff win %
- 52.1
- Penalties / game
- 3.7
Shots / game: 29.9 · Shooting: 14.0% · Avg distance: 31.8 ft
Pittsburgh Penguins
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 62.6
- Corsi share (%)
- 52.6
- Fenwick share (%)
- 53.8
- Faceoff win %
- 50.7
- Penalties / game
- 3.4
Shots / game: 30.1 · Shooting: 13.6% · Avg distance: 30.1 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
OTT
|
Metric |
PIT
|
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Points | 11 |
| 0.667 | Points % | 0.458 |
| 38 | Goals for | 40 |
| 34 | Goals against | 40 |
| 4 | Goal differential | 0 |
| W1 | Current streak | W2 |
Road versus home
|
OTT road
|
Metric |
PIT home
|
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games | 5 |
| 3 | Wins | 4 |
| 6 | Points | 8 |
| 3 | Goal differential | 6 |
Last 10 games
|
OTT
|
Metric |
PIT
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-4-0 | Record | 3-6-1 |
| 12 | Points | 7 |
| 31 | Goals for | 27 |
| 31 | Goals against | 35 |
| 0 | Goal differential | -8 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
OTT
8 wins
10
games reviewed
PIT
2 wins
Total goals32 – 19
Goal differential
+13
/
-13
Goals per game3.2 / 1.9
Shots per game30.7 / 33.9
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Ottawa Senators
|
0 - 4 | 24 - 26 | View |
| Mar 30, 2025 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
0 - 1 | 31 - 35 | View |
| Jan 11, 2025 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
5 - 0 | 22 - 29 | View |
| Dec 14, 2024 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Ottawa Senators
|
2 - 3 | 27 - 31 | View |
| Mar 12, 2024 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Ottawa Senators
|
1 - 2 | 35 - 39 | View |
| Dec 23, 2023 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Ottawa Senators
|
4 - 5 | 34 - 26 | View |
| Oct 28, 2023 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
5 - 2 | 26 - 43 | View |
| Mar 20, 2023 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
2 - 1 | 21 - 49 | View |
| Jan 20, 2023 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
1 - 4 | 45 - 44 | View |
| Jan 18, 2023 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Ottawa Senators
|
4 - 5 | 19 - 40 | View |