Forward trio
86:37 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 99 / 66
- Fenwick for / against
- 70 / 46
- Corsi share
- 60.0%
- Fenwick share
- 60.3%
- xG for / against
- 4.86 / 2.86
Ottawa Senators vs Philadelphia Flyers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for February 5, 2026
NHL matchup
Ottawa Senators at Philadelphia Flyers
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for February 5, 2026.
February 5, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 5. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Ottawa Senators
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
138:18 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 131 / 88
- Fenwick for / against
- 94 / 64
- Corsi share
- 59.8%
- Fenwick share
- 59.5%
- xG for / against
- 7.12 / 2.82
Philadelphia Flyers
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
49:27 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 48 / 59
- Fenwick for / against
- 42 / 42
- Corsi share
- 44.9%
- Fenwick share
- 50.0%
- xG for / against
- 3.80 / 1.94
Defense pair
81:45 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 61 / 76
- Fenwick for / against
- 47 / 53
- Corsi share
- 44.5%
- Fenwick share
- 47.0%
- xG for / against
- 3.51 / 3.24
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
James Reimer
Ottawa Senators · Last start: Feb 3
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 104
- Save %
- 85.6
- Goals allowed
- 15
- Close-range shots %
- 35.6
Dan Vladar
Philadelphia Flyers · Last start: Feb 3
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 91
- Save %
- 87.9
- Goals allowed
- 11
- Close-range shots %
- 29.7
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 5, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Ottawa Senators
- xG for / game
- 3.29
- xG against / game
- 2.53
- xG differential / game
- 0.76
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Philadelphia Flyers
- xG for / game
- 3.21
- xG against / game
- 2.98
- xG differential / game
- 0.22
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 5, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Ottawa Senators
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 57.8
- Corsi share (%)
- 53.2
- Fenwick share (%)
- 54.9
- Faceoff win %
- 53.3
- Penalties / game
- 3.8
Shots / game: 28.7 · Shooting: 13.2% · Avg distance: 31.0 ft
Philadelphia Flyers
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 54.3
- Corsi share (%)
- 47.8
- Fenwick share (%)
- 49.7
- Faceoff win %
- 47.5
- Penalties / game
- 3.8
Shots / game: 25.5 · Shooting: 12.2% · Avg distance: 32.2 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
OTT
|
Metric |
PHI
|
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Points | 9 |
| 0.667 | Points % | 0.346 |
| 38 | Goals for | 24 |
| 34 | Goals against | 42 |
| 4 | Goal differential | -18 |
| W1 | Current streak | L1 |
Road versus home
|
OTT road
|
Metric |
PHI home
|
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games | 7 |
| 3 | Wins | 2 |
| 6 | Points | 6 |
| 3 | Goal differential | -10 |
Last 10 games
|
OTT
|
Metric |
PHI
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-4-0 | Record | 3-6-1 |
| 12 | Points | 7 |
| 31 | Goals for | 20 |
| 31 | Goals against | 29 |
| 0 | Goal differential | -9 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
OTT
8 wins
10
games reviewed
PHI
2 wins
Total goals39 – 27
Goal differential
+12
/
-12
Goals per game3.9 / 2.7
Shots per game29.7 / 25.3
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
3 - 2 | 14 - 22 | View |
| Oct 23, 2025 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
Ottawa Senators
|
1 - 2 | 23 - 33 | View |
| Apr 13, 2025 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
Ottawa Senators
|
3 - 4 | 32 - 25 | View |
| Mar 11, 2025 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
5 - 2 | 24 - 22 | View |
| Nov 14, 2024 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
Ottawa Senators
|
5 - 4 | 19 - 37 | View |
| Mar 2, 2024 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
2 - 4 | 26 - 40 | View |
| Jan 21, 2024 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
5 - 3 | 34 - 25 | View |
| Oct 14, 2023 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
Ottawa Senators
|
2 - 5 | 21 - 31 | View |
| Mar 30, 2023 |
Philadelphia Flyers
at
Ottawa Senators
|
4 - 5 | 11 - 46 | View |
| Nov 12, 2022 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Philadelphia Flyers
|
4 - 1 | 27 - 38 | View |