Forward trio
93:00 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 81 / 85
- Fenwick for / against
- 60 / 56
- Corsi share
- 48.8%
- Fenwick share
- 51.7%
- xG for / against
- 3.97 / 4.04
Ottawa Senators vs New York Rangers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 23, 2026
NHL matchup
Ottawa Senators at New York Rangers
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 23, 2026.
March 23, 2026
· 6:30 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 23. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Ottawa Senators
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
128:47 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 140 / 81
- Fenwick for / against
- 103 / 65
- Corsi share
- 63.3%
- Fenwick share
- 61.3%
- xG for / against
- 7.44 / 4.98
New York Rangers
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
127:09 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 105 / 111
- Fenwick for / against
- 81 / 91
- Corsi share
- 48.6%
- Fenwick share
- 47.1%
- xG for / against
- 5.83 / 4.10
Defense pair
143:30 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 132 / 134
- Fenwick for / against
- 98 / 110
- Corsi share
- 49.6%
- Fenwick share
- 47.1%
- xG for / against
- 6.31 / 5.87
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Linus Ullmark
Ottawa Senators · Last start: Mar 21
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 107
- Save %
- 89.7
- Goals allowed
- 11
- Close-range shots %
- 35.5
Dylan Garand
New York Rangers · Last start: Mar 22
1 / 1 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 37
- Save %
- 94.6
- Goals allowed
- 2
- Close-range shots %
- 27.0
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 23, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Ottawa Senators
- xG for / game
- 3.68
- xG against / game
- 2.52
- xG differential / game
- 1.16
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
New York Rangers
- xG for / game
- 2.49
- xG against / game
- 3.53
- xG differential / game
- -1.03
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 23, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Ottawa Senators
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 64.4
- Corsi share (%)
- 57.0
- Fenwick share (%)
- 57.6
- Faceoff win %
- 52.6
- Penalties / game
- 3.7
Shots / game: 31.2 · Shooting: 11.9% · Avg distance: 31.2 ft
New York Rangers
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 49.9
- Corsi share (%)
- 44.4
- Fenwick share (%)
- 42.7
- Faceoff win %
- 49.7
- Penalties / game
- 3.4
Shots / game: 22.9 · Shooting: 16.6% · Avg distance: 32.6 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
OTT
|
Metric |
NYR
|
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Points | 15 |
| 0.667 | Points % | 0.536 |
| 38 | Goals for | 44 |
| 34 | Goals against | 42 |
| 4 | Goal differential | 2 |
| W1 | Current streak | L3 |
Road versus home
|
OTT road
|
Metric |
NYR home
|
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games | 7 |
| 3 | Wins | 6 |
| 6 | Points | 12 |
| 3 | Goal differential | 16 |
Last 10 games
|
OTT
|
Metric |
NYR
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-4-0 | Record | 4-5-1 |
| 12 | Points | 9 |
| 31 | Goals for | 33 |
| 31 | Goals against | 36 |
| 0 | Goal differential | -3 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
OTT
5 wins
10
games reviewed
NYR
5 wins
Total goals31 – 36
Goal differential
-5
/
+5
Goals per game3.1 / 3.6
Shots per game31.8 / 27.7
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2026 |
Ottawa Senators
at
New York Rangers
|
8 - 4 | 30 - 22 | View |
| Dec 4, 2025 |
New York Rangers
at
Ottawa Senators
|
4 - 2 | 28 - 27 | View |
| Mar 8, 2025 |
New York Rangers
at
Ottawa Senators
|
3 - 4 | 23 - 37 | View |
| Jan 21, 2025 |
Ottawa Senators
at
New York Rangers
|
0 - 5 | 20 - 29 | View |
| Nov 1, 2024 |
Ottawa Senators
at
New York Rangers
|
1 - 2 | 41 - 18 | View |
| Apr 15, 2024 |
Ottawa Senators
at
New York Rangers
|
0 - 4 | 25 - 34 | View |
| Jan 27, 2024 |
New York Rangers
at
Ottawa Senators
|
7 - 2 | 29 - 31 | View |
| Dec 5, 2023 |
New York Rangers
at
Ottawa Senators
|
2 - 6 | 35 - 36 | View |
| Mar 2, 2023 |
Ottawa Senators
at
New York Rangers
|
5 - 3 | 34 - 32 | View |
| Dec 2, 2022 |
Ottawa Senators
at
New York Rangers
|
3 - 2 | 37 - 27 | View |