Away team
Ottawa Senators
33.6%
Fair American
+198
Fair decimal
2.98
Ottawa Senators vs Florida Panthers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 18, 2027
NHL matchup
Ottawa Senators at Florida Panthers
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 18, 2027.
January 18, 2027
· 6:30 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Florida Panthers at 66.4%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Florida Panthers
66.4%
Fair American
-198
Fair decimal
1.51
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Jan 18, 2027.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 3-2
- Net units
- 0.10
- ROI
- 1.9%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 2
- Record
- 1-1
- Net units
- -0.17
- ROI
- -8.7%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 8
- Record
- 5-3
- Net units
- 0.63
- ROI
- 7.8%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 4
- Record
- 2-2
- Net units
- -1.10
- ROI
- -27.6%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 1
- Record
- 0-1
- Net units
- -1.00
- ROI
- -100.0%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 9
- Record
- 5-4
- Net units
- -0.93
- ROI
- -10.4%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 18. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Ottawa Senators
This selection is unavailable until complete validated shift records cover every selected game.
All observed combinationsFlorida Panthers
This selection is unavailable until complete validated shift records cover every selected game.
All observed combinationsAmbiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Ottawa Senators
Expected starter unavailable.
Florida Panthers
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Jonas Johansson
Ottawa Senators · Last start: Oct 27
2 / 2 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 56
- Save %
- 89.3
- Goals allowed
- 6
- Close-range shots %
- 33.9
Akira Schmid
Florida Panthers · Last start: Oct 27
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 121
- Save %
- 89.3
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 33.1
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 18, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Ottawa Senators
- xG for / game
- 2.85
- xG against / game
- 2.73
- xG differential / game
- 0.12
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Florida Panthers
- xG for / game
- 3.36
- xG against / game
- 2.74
- xG differential / game
- 0.62
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 18, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Ottawa Senators
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 56.2
- Corsi share (%)
- 49.4
- Fenwick share (%)
- 48.9
- Faceoff win %
- 52.4
- Penalties / game
- 4.3
Shots / game: 25.3 · Shooting: 10.7% · Avg distance: 31.9 ft
Florida Panthers
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 60.5
- Corsi share (%)
- 54.8
- Fenwick share (%)
- 53.2
- Faceoff win %
- 45.6
- Penalties / game
- 5.6
Shots / game: 29.0 · Shooting: 11.4% · Avg distance: 32.4 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
OTT
|
Metric |
FLA
|
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Points | 16 |
| 0.615 | Points % | 0.615 |
| 39 | Goals for | 39 |
| 38 | Goals against | 37 |
| 1 | Goal differential | 2 |
| L1 | Current streak | W2 |
Road versus home
|
OTT road
|
Metric |
FLA home
|
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Games | 3 |
| 3 | Wins | 2 |
| 6 | Points | 4 |
| 0 | Goal differential | 3 |
Last 10 games
|
OTT
|
Metric |
FLA
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-4-0 | Record | 6-4-0 |
| 12 | Points | 12 |
| 29 | Goals for | 33 |
| 30 | Goals against | 30 |
| -1 | Goal differential | 3 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
OTT
4 wins
10
games reviewed
FLA
6 wins
Total goals24 – 31
Goal differential
-7
/
+7
Goals per game2.4 / 3.1
Shots per game26.7 / 29.9
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 |
Florida Panthers
at
Ottawa Senators
|
1 - 5 | 19 - 30 | View |
| Apr 9, 2026 |
Florida Panthers
at
Ottawa Senators
|
1 - 5 | 23 - 28 | View |
| Mar 31, 2026 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Florida Panthers
|
3 - 6 | 26 - 29 | View |
| Jan 10, 2026 |
Florida Panthers
at
Ottawa Senators
|
3 - 2 | 21 - 19 | View |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Florida Panthers
|
2 - 6 | 28 - 27 | View |
| Apr 5, 2025 |
Florida Panthers
at
Ottawa Senators
|
0 - 3 | 39 - 22 | View |
| Feb 8, 2025 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Florida Panthers
|
1 - 5 | 27 - 48 | View |
| Oct 10, 2024 |
Florida Panthers
at
Ottawa Senators
|
1 - 3 | 32 - 31 | View |
| Apr 9, 2024 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Florida Panthers
|
0 - 2 | 26 - 30 | View |
| Apr 4, 2024 |
Florida Panthers
at
Ottawa Senators
|
6 - 0 | 31 - 30 | View |