Forward trio
90:11 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 108 / 68
- Fenwick for / against
- 79 / 49
- Corsi share
- 61.4%
- Fenwick share
- 61.7%
- xG for / against
- 5.59 / 3.41
Ottawa Senators vs Florida Panthers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 31, 2026
NHL matchup
Ottawa Senators at Florida Panthers
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 31, 2026.
March 31, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 31. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Ottawa Senators
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
100:36 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 115 / 53
- Fenwick for / against
- 85 / 44
- Corsi share
- 68.5%
- Fenwick share
- 65.9%
- xG for / against
- 6.03 / 3.45
Florida Panthers
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
69:26 together · 6 games
- Corsi for / against
- 76 / 61
- Fenwick for / against
- 55 / 53
- Corsi share
- 55.5%
- Fenwick share
- 50.9%
- xG for / against
- 3.42 / 3.70
Defense pair
142:02 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 141 / 122
- Fenwick for / against
- 100 / 97
- Corsi share
- 53.6%
- Fenwick share
- 50.8%
- xG for / against
- 6.14 / 7.61
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
James Reimer
Ottawa Senators · Last start: Mar 28
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 88
- Save %
- 90.9
- Goals allowed
- 8
- Close-range shots %
- 26.1
Sergei Bobrovsky
Florida Panthers · Last start: Mar 29
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 122
- Save %
- 90.2
- Goals allowed
- 12
- Close-range shots %
- 33.6
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 31, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Ottawa Senators
- xG for / game
- 3.65
- xG against / game
- 2.82
- xG differential / game
- 0.83
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Florida Panthers
- xG for / game
- 2.93
- xG against / game
- 3.26
- xG differential / game
- -0.34
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 31, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Ottawa Senators
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 61.5
- Corsi share (%)
- 52.8
- Fenwick share (%)
- 53.7
- Faceoff win %
- 54.9
- Penalties / game
- 3.8
Shots / game: 30.4 · Shooting: 9.9% · Avg distance: 32.2 ft
Florida Panthers
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 60.3
- Corsi share (%)
- 52.3
- Fenwick share (%)
- 49.8
- Faceoff win %
- 45.0
- Penalties / game
- 3.0
Shots / game: 23.8 · Shooting: 10.1% · Avg distance: 31.9 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
OTT
|
Metric |
FLA
|
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Points | 16 |
| 0.615 | Points % | 0.615 |
| 39 | Goals for | 39 |
| 38 | Goals against | 37 |
| 1 | Goal differential | 2 |
| L1 | Current streak | W2 |
Road versus home
|
OTT road
|
Metric |
FLA home
|
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Games | 3 |
| 3 | Wins | 2 |
| 6 | Points | 4 |
| 0 | Goal differential | 3 |
Last 10 games
|
OTT
|
Metric |
FLA
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-4-0 | Record | 6-4-0 |
| 12 | Points | 12 |
| 29 | Goals for | 33 |
| 30 | Goals against | 30 |
| -1 | Goal differential | 3 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
OTT
2 wins
10
games reviewed
FLA
8 wins
Total goals15 – 38
Goal differential
-23
/
+23
Goals per game1.5 / 3.8
Shots per game29.1 / 32.9
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 |
Florida Panthers
at
Ottawa Senators
|
3 - 2 | 21 - 19 | View |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Florida Panthers
|
2 - 6 | 28 - 27 | View |
| Apr 5, 2025 |
Florida Panthers
at
Ottawa Senators
|
0 - 3 | 39 - 22 | View |
| Feb 8, 2025 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Florida Panthers
|
1 - 5 | 27 - 48 | View |
| Oct 10, 2024 |
Florida Panthers
at
Ottawa Senators
|
1 - 3 | 32 - 31 | View |
| Apr 9, 2024 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Florida Panthers
|
0 - 2 | 26 - 30 | View |
| Apr 4, 2024 |
Florida Panthers
at
Ottawa Senators
|
6 - 0 | 31 - 30 | View |
| Feb 20, 2024 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Florida Panthers
|
2 - 3 | 30 - 34 | View |
| Nov 27, 2023 |
Florida Panthers
at
Ottawa Senators
|
5 - 0 | 37 - 20 | View |
| Apr 6, 2023 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Florida Panthers
|
2 - 7 | 58 - 30 | View |