Away team
Ottawa Senators
39.8%
Fair American
+151
Fair decimal
2.51
Ottawa Senators vs Carolina Hurricanes prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for November 28, 2026
NHL matchup
Ottawa Senators at Carolina Hurricanes
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for November 28, 2026.
November 28, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Carolina Hurricanes at 60.2%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Carolina Hurricanes
60.2%
Fair American
-151
Fair decimal
1.66
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Nov 28, 2026.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 3-2
- Net units
- 0.10
- ROI
- 1.9%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 2
- Record
- 1-1
- Net units
- -0.17
- ROI
- -8.7%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 8
- Record
- 5-3
- Net units
- 0.63
- ROI
- 7.8%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 12
- Record
- 9-3
- Net units
- 2.25
- ROI
- 18.7%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 2
- Record
- 1-1
- Net units
- -0.35
- ROI
- -17.3%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 14
- Record
- 10-4
- Net units
- 1.55
- ROI
- 11.1%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 28. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Ottawa Senators
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
39:16 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 34 / 42
- Fenwick for / against
- 21 / 38
- Corsi share
- 44.7%
- Fenwick share
- 35.6%
- xG for / against
- 1.84 / 2.46
Defense pair
81:43 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 98 / 76
- Fenwick for / against
- 67 / 46
- Corsi share
- 56.3%
- Fenwick share
- 59.3%
- xG for / against
- 4.60 / 2.72
Carolina Hurricanes
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
109:31 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 143 / 85
- Fenwick for / against
- 107 / 61
- Corsi share
- 62.7%
- Fenwick share
- 63.7%
- xG for / against
- 6.55 / 3.53
Defense pair
164:37 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 176 / 119
- Fenwick for / against
- 130 / 81
- Corsi share
- 59.7%
- Fenwick share
- 61.6%
- xG for / against
- 8.35 / 6.22
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Ottawa Senators
Expected starter unavailable.
Carolina Hurricanes
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Jonas Johansson
Ottawa Senators · Last start: Oct 27
2 / 2 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 56
- Save %
- 89.3
- Goals allowed
- 6
- Close-range shots %
- 33.9
Pyotr Kochetkov
Carolina Hurricanes · Last start: Oct 27
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 102
- Save %
- 92.2
- Goals allowed
- 8
- Close-range shots %
- 41.2
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 28, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Ottawa Senators
- xG for / game
- 2.85
- xG against / game
- 2.72
- xG differential / game
- 0.13
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Carolina Hurricanes
- xG for / game
- 3.95
- xG against / game
- 2.38
- xG differential / game
- 1.57
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 28, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Ottawa Senators
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 56.2
- Corsi share (%)
- 49.5
- Fenwick share (%)
- 49.0
- Faceoff win %
- 52.4
- Penalties / game
- 4.3
Shots / game: 25.3 · Shooting: 10.7% · Avg distance: 31.9 ft
Carolina Hurricanes
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 67.5
- Corsi share (%)
- 59.1
- Fenwick share (%)
- 60.8
- Faceoff win %
- 49.3
- Penalties / game
- 3.3
Shots / game: 35.0 · Shooting: 12.0% · Avg distance: 31.0 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
OTT
|
Metric |
CAR
|
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Points | 22 |
| 0.615 | Points % | 0.786 |
| 39 | Goals for | 53 |
| 38 | Goals against | 34 |
| 1 | Goal differential | 19 |
| L1 | Current streak | W2 |
Road versus home
|
OTT road
|
Metric |
CAR home
|
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Games | 5 |
| 3 | Wins | 3 |
| 6 | Points | 7 |
| 0 | Goal differential | 4 |
Last 10 games
|
OTT
|
Metric |
CAR
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-4-0 | Record | 8-1-1 |
| 12 | Points | 17 |
| 29 | Goals for | 42 |
| 30 | Goals against | 22 |
| -1 | Goal differential | 20 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
OTT
4 wins
10
games reviewed
CAR
6 wins
Total goals29 – 38
Goal differential
-9
/
+9
Goals per game2.9 / 3.8
Shots per game29.6 / 29.5
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2026 |
Carolina Hurricanes
at
Ottawa Senators
|
3 - 6 | 28 - 31 | View |
| Feb 3, 2026 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Carolina Hurricanes
|
3 - 4 | 25 - 18 | View |
| Jan 24, 2026 |
Carolina Hurricanes
at
Ottawa Senators
|
4 - 1 | 19 - 36 | View |
| Apr 17, 2025 |
Carolina Hurricanes
at
Ottawa Senators
|
5 - 7 | 33 - 32 | View |
| Dec 13, 2024 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Carolina Hurricanes
|
3 - 0 | 22 - 32 | View |
| Nov 16, 2024 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Carolina Hurricanes
|
0 - 4 | 24 - 28 | View |
| Mar 17, 2024 |
Carolina Hurricanes
at
Ottawa Senators
|
7 - 2 | 38 - 32 | View |
| Dec 12, 2023 |
Carolina Hurricanes
at
Ottawa Senators
|
4 - 1 | 28 - 32 | View |
| Oct 11, 2023 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Carolina Hurricanes
|
3 - 5 | 30 - 42 | View |
| Apr 10, 2023 |
Carolina Hurricanes
at
Ottawa Senators
|
2 - 3 | 29 - 32 | View |