Ottawa Senators vs Calgary Flames Prediction & Matchup Analysis – March 5, 2026

The Ottawa Senators visit the Calgary Flames on March 5, 2026. playerWON’s machine-learning model projects a Ottawa Senators win with a 64.5% probability.

Ottawa Senators

39-26-10

@

Calgary Flames

31-36-8

🤖 Model favours Ottawa Senators (64.5%)

March 5, 2026

Visitor Model Odds

Ottawa Senators

64.5%

American: -182

Decimal: 1.55

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Home Model Odds

Calgary Flames

35.5%

American: +182

Decimal: 2.82

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🥅 Last 10 Head-to-Head Games

OTT	H2H Summary	CGY
6-4	Record	4-6
28	Total Goals	34
-6	Goal Differential	+6
2.8	Goals / Game	3.4
30.5	Shots / Game	32.2

Date	Matchup	Score	Shots	Details
Oct 30, 2025	Calgary Flames @ Ottawa Senators @	3 - 4	29 - 38	View
Dec 19, 2024	Ottawa Senators @ Calgary Flames @	3 - 2	29 - 32	View
Nov 25, 2024	Calgary Flames @ Ottawa Senators @	3 - 4	27 - 30	View
Jan 9, 2024	Ottawa Senators @ Calgary Flames @	3 - 6	33 - 36	View
Nov 11, 2023	Calgary Flames @ Ottawa Senators @	1 - 4	25 - 38	View
Mar 12, 2023	Ottawa Senators @ Calgary Flames @	1 - 5	31 - 39	View
Feb 13, 2023	Calgary Flames @ Ottawa Senators @	3 - 4	37 - 25	View
Jan 13, 2022	Ottawa Senators @ Calgary Flames @	4 - 1	34 - 28	View
Nov 14, 2021	Calgary Flames @ Ottawa Senators @	4 - 0	33 - 27	View
May 9, 2021	Ottawa Senators @ Calgary Flames @	1 - 6	20 - 36	View

This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s machine-learning model, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects.