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Ottawa Senators vs Boston Bruins prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 25, 2027

NHL matchup

Ottawa Senators at Boston Bruins

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 25, 2027.

March 25, 2027 · 6:00 PM CST
Away

Ottawa Senators

8-5-0

33.3%
at
Home

Boston Bruins

9-3-1

66.7% Model pick
Model V2 pick: Boston Bruins at 66.7%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Ottawa Senators logo
Away team

Ottawa Senators

33.3%
Fair American +200
Fair decimal 3.0
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Mar 25, 2027.

Boston Bruins

All Model Picks

Bets
8
Record
6-2
Net units
3.03
ROI
37.9%

Value Picks

Bets
8
Record
4-4
Net units
-0.21
ROI
-2.6%

Market Favourite

Bets
6
Record
6-0
Net units
4.68
ROI
78.1%
Full team betting results

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 25. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Ottawa Senators

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

39:16 together · 9 games

xG share42.5%
Corsi for / against
34 / 43
Fenwick for / against
21 / 39
Corsi share
44.2%
Fenwick share
35.0%
xG for / against
1.84 / 2.49
Defense pair

81:43 together · 9 games

xG share62.9%
Corsi for / against
98 / 76
Fenwick for / against
67 / 46
Corsi share
56.3%
Fenwick share
59.3%
xG for / against
4.60 / 2.72
All observed combinations

Boston Bruins

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

123:25 together · 10 games

xG share47.5%
Corsi for / against
100 / 131
Fenwick for / against
72 / 89
Corsi share
43.3%
Fenwick share
44.7%
xG for / against
5.76 / 6.36
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Jonas Johansson

Ottawa Senators · Last start: Oct 27

2 / 2 appearances covered

Shots faced
56
Save %
89.3
Goals allowed
6
Close-range shots %
33.9

Jeremy Swayman

Boston Bruins · Last start: Oct 27

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
146
Save %
91.1
Goals allowed
13
Close-range shots %
34.9
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 25, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Ottawa Senators

xG for / game
2.85
xG against / game
2.73
xG differential / game
0.12

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Boston Bruins

xG for / game
3.22
xG against / game
3.21
xG differential / game
0.02

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 25, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Ottawa Senators

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
56.2
Corsi share (%)
49.4
Fenwick share (%)
48.9
Faceoff win %
52.4
Penalties / game
4.3

Shots / game: 25.3 · Shooting: 10.7% · Avg distance: 31.9 ft

Boston Bruins

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
50.0
Corsi share (%)
45.5
Fenwick share (%)
46.7
Faceoff win %
54.4
Penalties / game
5.2

Shots / game: 25.0 · Shooting: 16.4% · Avg distance: 31.1 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Ottawa Senators OTT
Metric
Boston Bruins BOS
16Points19
0.615Points %0.731
39Goals for49
38Goals against28
1Goal differential21
L1Current streakL1
Road versus home
Ottawa Senators OTT road
Metric
Boston Bruins BOS home
6Games6
3Wins5
6Points10
0Goal differential17
Last 10 games
Ottawa Senators OTT
Metric
Boston Bruins BOS
6-4-0Record7-2-1
12Points15
29Goals for41
30Goals against21
-1Goal differential20
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Ottawa Senators OTT 8 wins
10 games reviewed
Boston Bruins BOS 2 wins
Total goals42 – 24
Goal differential +18 / -18
Goals per game4.2 / 2.4
Shots per game27.8 / 24.3
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Oct 5, 2026
Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
4 - 1 24 - 19 View
Dec 21, 2025
Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
6 - 2 28 - 20 View
Nov 13, 2025
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators
3 - 5 21 - 22 View
Nov 6, 2025
Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
2 - 3 22 - 25 View
Oct 27, 2025
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators
2 - 7 28 - 23 View
Mar 13, 2025
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators
3 - 6 25 - 32 View
Jan 23, 2025
Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
0 - 2 29 - 26 View
Jan 18, 2025
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators
5 - 6 28 - 44 View
Nov 9, 2024
Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
3 - 2 34 - 16 View
Apr 16, 2024
Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
3 - 1 20 - 35 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
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