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New York Rangers vs Winnipeg Jets prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 12, 2026

NHL matchup

New York Rangers at Winnipeg Jets

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 12, 2026.

March 12, 2026 · 7:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 12. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

New York Rangers

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

70:07 together · 6 games

xG share61.5%
Corsi for / against
85 / 61
Fenwick for / against
68 / 49
Corsi share
58.2%
Fenwick share
58.1%
xG for / against
4.01 / 2.51
Defense pair

110:19 together · 7 games

xG share59.2%
Corsi for / against
108 / 79
Fenwick for / against
79 / 63
Corsi share
57.8%
Fenwick share
55.6%
xG for / against
4.86 / 3.34
All observed combinations

Winnipeg Jets

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

67:24 together · 10 games

xG share44.6%
Corsi for / against
50 / 59
Fenwick for / against
44 / 46
Corsi share
45.9%
Fenwick share
48.9%
xG for / against
3.25 / 4.05
Defense pair

114:48 together · 10 games

xG share49.3%
Corsi for / against
110 / 95
Fenwick for / against
82 / 74
Corsi share
53.7%
Fenwick share
52.6%
xG for / against
4.82 / 4.95
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Jonathan Quick

New York Rangers · Last start: Mar 10

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
151
Save %
91.4
Goals allowed
13
Close-range shots %
21.9

Connor Hellebuyck

Winnipeg Jets · Last start: Mar 10

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
136
Save %
92.6
Goals allowed
10
Close-range shots %
30.1
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 12, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

New York Rangers

xG for / game
2.60
xG against / game
3.21
xG differential / game
-0.61

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Winnipeg Jets

xG for / game
3.25
xG against / game
3.22
xG differential / game
0.03

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 12, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

New York Rangers

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
52.9
Corsi share (%)
47.0
Fenwick share (%)
44.6
Faceoff win %
55.4
Penalties / game
3.4

Shots / game: 23.9 · Shooting: 13.8% · Avg distance: 31.3 ft

Winnipeg Jets

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
58.7
Corsi share (%)
51.4
Fenwick share (%)
49.8
Faceoff win %
51.1
Penalties / game
2.2

Shots / game: 28.5 · Shooting: 8.8% · Avg distance: 30.8 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
New York Rangers NYR
Metric
Winnipeg Jets WPG
15Points11
0.577Points %0.500
41Goals for27
36Goals against31
5Goal differential-4
L2Current streakL1
Road versus home
New York Rangers NYR road
Metric
Winnipeg Jets WPG home
7Games6
1Wins2
3Points5
-14Goal differential-3
Last 10 games
New York Rangers NYR
Metric
Winnipeg Jets WPG
5-4-1Record4-4-2
11Points10
34Goals for24
32Goals against27
2Goal differential-3
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

New York Rangers NYR 5 wins
10 games reviewed
Winnipeg Jets WPG 5 wins
Total goals28 – 28
Goal differential 0 / 0
Goals per game2.8 / 2.8
Shots per game33.7 / 33.6
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Mar 11, 2025
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
1 - 2 22 - 24 View
Nov 12, 2024
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at New York Rangers New York Rangers
6 - 3 33 - 36 View
Mar 19, 2024
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at New York Rangers New York Rangers
4 - 2 27 - 41 View
Oct 30, 2023
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
3 - 2 26 - 29 View
Feb 20, 2023
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at New York Rangers New York Rangers
4 - 1 21 - 51 View
Oct 14, 2022
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
1 - 4 41 - 34 View
Apr 19, 2022
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at New York Rangers New York Rangers
0 - 3 31 - 34 View
Mar 6, 2022
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
4 - 1 22 - 46 View
Feb 11, 2020
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
4 - 1 32 - 44 View
Oct 3, 2019
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at New York Rangers New York Rangers
4 - 6 47 - 32 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.