Away team
New York Rangers
53.7%
Fair American
-116
Fair decimal
1.86
New York Rangers vs Toronto Maple Leafs prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 22, 2026
NHL matchup
New York Rangers at Toronto Maple Leafs
View the PlayerWON model prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 22, 2026.
October 22, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model favourite
New York Rangers
at 53.7%
Prediction
Model versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Toronto Maple Leafs
46.3%
Fair American
+116
Fair decimal
2.16
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
NYR
|
Metric |
TOR
|
|---|---|---|
| 77 | Points | 78 |
| 0.470 | Points % | 0.476 |
| 238 | Goals for | 253 |
| 250 | Goals against | 299 |
| -12 | Goal differential | -46 |
| W1 | Current streak | L5 |
Road versus home
|
NYR road
|
Metric |
TOR home
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 20 | Wins | 18 |
| 42 | Points | 44 |
| 6 | Goal differential | -10 |
Last 10 games
|
NYR
|
Metric |
TOR
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-4-0 | Record | 2-7-1 |
| 12 | Points | 5 |
| 36 | Goals for | 28 |
| 20 | Goals against | 47 |
| 16 | Goal differential | -19 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
NYR
3 wins
10
games reviewed
TOR
7 wins
Total goals32 – 32
Goal differential
0
/
0
Goals per game3.2 / 3.2
Shots per game31.6 / 27.0
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2026 |
New York Rangers
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
3 - 4 | 43 - 18 | View |
| Mar 5, 2026 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
New York Rangers
|
2 - 6 | 31 - 24 | View |
| Oct 16, 2025 |
New York Rangers
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
1 - 2 | 29 - 24 | View |
| Mar 20, 2025 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
New York Rangers
|
4 - 3 | 28 - 30 | View |
| Feb 28, 2025 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
New York Rangers
|
3 - 2 | 16 - 35 | View |
| Oct 19, 2024 |
New York Rangers
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
4 - 1 | 29 - 35 | View |
| Mar 2, 2024 |
New York Rangers
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
3 - 4 | 35 - 34 | View |
| Dec 19, 2023 |
New York Rangers
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
5 - 2 | 36 - 33 | View |
| Dec 12, 2023 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
New York Rangers
|
7 - 3 | 30 - 31 | View |
| Apr 13, 2023 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
New York Rangers
|
3 - 2 | 21 - 24 | View |