Away team
New York Rangers
40.4%
Fair American
+148
Fair decimal
2.48
New York Rangers vs St. Louis Blues prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for December 27, 2026
NHL matchup
New York Rangers at St. Louis Blues
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for December 27, 2026.
December 27, 2026
· 4:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
St. Louis Blues at 59.6%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
St. Louis Blues
59.6%
Fair American
-148
Fair decimal
1.68
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Dec 27, 2026.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 4-1
- Net units
- 2.21
- ROI
- 44.2%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 4
- Record
- 3-1
- Net units
- 2.41
- ROI
- 60.2%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 6
- Record
- 4-2
- Net units
- 0.60
- ROI
- 10.0%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 4
- Record
- 2-2
- Net units
- 0.60
- ROI
- 15.0%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 3-2
- Net units
- 1.70
- ROI
- 34.0%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 6
- Record
- 2-4
- Net units
- -2.49
- ROI
- -41.4%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 27. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
New York Rangers
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
89:25 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 88 / 84
- Fenwick for / against
- 65 / 65
- Corsi share
- 51.2%
- Fenwick share
- 50.0%
- xG for / against
- 4.82 / 3.48
Defense pair
146:33 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 147 / 153
- Fenwick for / against
- 107 / 98
- Corsi share
- 49.0%
- Fenwick share
- 52.2%
- xG for / against
- 7.76 / 5.06
St. Louis Blues
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
108:25 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 99 / 102
- Fenwick for / against
- 70 / 77
- Corsi share
- 49.3%
- Fenwick share
- 47.6%
- xG for / against
- 4.63 / 4.76
Defense pair
109:44 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 96 / 102
- Fenwick for / against
- 67 / 86
- Corsi share
- 48.5%
- Fenwick share
- 43.8%
- xG for / against
- 5.37 / 5.98
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
New York Rangers
Expected starter unavailable.
St. Louis Blues
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
James Reimer
New York Rangers · Last start: Oct 26
1 / 1 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 8
- Save %
- 62.5
- Goals allowed
- 3
- Close-range shots %
- 37.5
Jordan Binnington
St. Louis Blues · Last start: Oct 27
4 / 4 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 103
- Save %
- 84.5
- Goals allowed
- 16
- Close-range shots %
- 35.0
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 27, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
New York Rangers
- xG for / game
- 3.27
- xG against / game
- 2.91
- xG differential / game
- 0.36
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
St. Louis Blues
- xG for / game
- 3.12
- xG against / game
- 2.68
- xG differential / game
- 0.44
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 27, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
New York Rangers
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 54.8
- Corsi share (%)
- 49.0
- Fenwick share (%)
- 48.3
- Faceoff win %
- 54.2
- Penalties / game
- 3.8
Shots / game: 25.4 · Shooting: 13.0% · Avg distance: 29.6 ft
St. Louis Blues
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 57.0
- Corsi share (%)
- 51.6
- Fenwick share (%)
- 49.6
- Faceoff win %
- 51.5
- Penalties / game
- 2.8
Shots / game: 28.7 · Shooting: 10.5% · Avg distance: 30.9 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
NYR
|
Metric |
STL
|
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Points | 11 |
| 0.536 | Points % | 0.458 |
| 44 | Goals for | 35 |
| 42 | Goals against | 37 |
| 2 | Goal differential | -2 |
| L3 | Current streak | L2 |
Road versus home
|
NYR road
|
Metric |
STL home
|
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Games | 6 |
| 1 | Wins | 3 |
| 3 | Points | 7 |
| -14 | Goal differential | 0 |
Last 10 games
|
NYR
|
Metric |
STL
|
|---|---|---|
| 4-5-1 | Record | 4-5-1 |
| 9 | Points | 9 |
| 33 | Goals for | 30 |
| 36 | Goals against | 31 |
| -3 | Goal differential | -1 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
NYR
5 wins
10
games reviewed
STL
5 wins
Total goals30 – 32
Goal differential
-2
/
+2
Goals per game3.0 / 3.2
Shots per game29.7 / 28.0
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 |
New York Rangers
at
St. Louis Blues
|
2 - 1 | 31 - 27 | View |
| Nov 24, 2025 |
St. Louis Blues
at
New York Rangers
|
2 - 3 | 21 - 21 | View |
| Dec 15, 2024 |
New York Rangers
at
St. Louis Blues
|
2 - 3 | 28 - 24 | View |
| Nov 25, 2024 |
St. Louis Blues
at
New York Rangers
|
5 - 2 | 44 - 29 | View |
| Mar 9, 2024 |
St. Louis Blues
at
New York Rangers
|
0 - 4 | 26 - 39 | View |
| Jan 11, 2024 |
New York Rangers
at
St. Louis Blues
|
2 - 5 | 43 - 20 | View |
| Apr 6, 2023 |
New York Rangers
at
St. Louis Blues
|
2 - 3 | 24 - 22 | View |
| Dec 5, 2022 |
St. Louis Blues
at
New York Rangers
|
4 - 6 | 29 - 24 | View |
| Mar 10, 2022 |
New York Rangers
at
St. Louis Blues
|
2 - 6 | 29 - 35 | View |
| Mar 2, 2022 |
St. Louis Blues
at
New York Rangers
|
3 - 5 | 32 - 29 | View |